Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will KRC Genk win on 2025-10-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f05689aad83868565f1a12156b170a6a351a1ae904d862eabbb1f23c12ee852
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,884
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,027
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,884 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 26c | 6,500$1,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 73c | 6,371$4,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,707.49 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 27c | 4,624$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.05 | 133 | 27.8%37 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 2,895$2,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.34 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 30c | 2,000$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.5 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 24c | 1,370$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.09 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 27c | 613.13$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.54 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 28c | 465.81$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.43 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4406…c664backed Yes | 30c | 384.03$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…7650backed No | 74c | 344.59$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.59 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed No | 74c | 337.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.84 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 103 | 32%33 W · 70 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…87c2backed No | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad10…c665backed No | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4343…7646backed No | 71c | 188.99$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dd…490bbacked No | 70c | 142.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.79 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed No | 74c | 128.38$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.38 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Yes | 27c | 125$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa40f…2fa3backed No | 70c | 124.29$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.29 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Yes | 29c | 99.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 73c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 74c | 69$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddbc…28c3backed No | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed No | 71c | 53.52$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 69c | 50.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 70c | 43.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 132 | 56.8%75 W · 57 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…f80abacked Yes | 32c | 40.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 68c | 40.63$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 73c | 36.16$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed No | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe690…f448backed No | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd41…5afebacked No | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3024…8ecebacked No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…7f83backed No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.24per pick | 66cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffc1…830fbacked No | 73c | 27.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked No | 70c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will KRC Genk win on 2025-10-23?this page
- Will KRC Genk vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-10-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.