Earnings · resolved market
Will Boeing (BA) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3a228bcbad8cd4e3439a8a2d88d85cbf6d511febc1760f21af875831922f01d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,706
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,822
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,706 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e26…2020backed No | 14c | 5,469$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0957…5db6backed Yes | 78c | 4,982$3,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.65 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc03…f66fbacked No | 4c | 3,700$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef1f…5868backed No | 8c | 1,700$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed No | 11c | 849.06$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd555…e28abacked No | 68c | 825.68$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.76 | 216 | 39.4%85 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd01…c83dbacked No | 8c | 442.92$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 62c | 422.35$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.13 | 761 | 37.6%286 W · 475 L | +35.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Yes | 32c | 330.16$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.74 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 32c | 317.18$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.68 | 312 | 29.8%93 W · 219 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 18c | 208$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 33c | 199.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.99 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b79…6f9dbacked Yes | 37c | 153.43$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.58 | 263 | 50.2%132 W · 131 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 37c | 120.54$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.25 | 579 | 39%226 W · 353 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…5d91backed No | 65c | 101.54$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0e…4419backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…87c2backed No | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe690…f448backed No | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe000…cbb1backed Yes | 29c | 73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.11 | 141 | 71.6%101 W · 40 L | +22.4wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 36c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 290 | 24.1%70 W · 220 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf627…fba2backed Yes | 36c | 55.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 35c | 51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…2d1abacked Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc18e…44e3backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf68…ae5cbacked Yes | 28c | 49.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d37…303dbacked Yes | 29c | 48.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe551…2e76backed Yes | 33c | 41.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe381…3ba9backed Yes | 32c | 32.14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 251 | 25.5%64 W · 187 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 29cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb918…0158backed Yes | 36c | 28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 70 | 12.9%9 W · 61 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b73…c441backed No | 77c | 27.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e65…f435backed Yes | 40c | 27.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b97…36b7backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 87 | 72.4%63 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafd7…f634backed No | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.