Bundesliga · resolved market
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe85fde8be90455e23d4b17268a5480cfa610dd43d1ab3b8492f7170149501507
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,711
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,532
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,711 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0748…a31ebacked No | 40c | 4,964$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,963.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 60c | 1,653$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 62c | 1,292$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.85 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed No | 38c | 789.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.47 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ea…f0d2backed Yes | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 64c | 499.98$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.99 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 36c | 408$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.04 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 62c | 400$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 65c | 365$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.05 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 61c | 321.74$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.81 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…218abacked Yes | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked No | 37c | 271.98$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.35 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…b1afbacked Yes | 26c | 237.69$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.54 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Yes | 50c | 208$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 36c | 203.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.01 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 203.04$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.67 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 122 | 71.3%87 W · 35 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa43…22f3backed No | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Yes | 65c | 123.08$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 62c | 120$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…51f7backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeedf…1483backed Yes | 63c | 99.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.99 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 63c | 89.85$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.61 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a6…c0fabacked Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 63cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 47c | 70$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Yes | 63c | 59.05$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 225 | 62.2%140 W · 85 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 39c | 50.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 271 | 42.8%116 W · 155 L | +18.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca6d…492bbacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed No | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Yes | 63c | 41.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Yes | 38c | 39.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13cb…59e9backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…3e0cbacked Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked No | 36c | 30.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…cf52backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Yes | 62c | 24.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 60c | 21.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 381 | 51.4%196 W · 185 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Yes | 67c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…0d65backed Yes | 61c | 18.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 64c | 16.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64ee…26babacked No | 74c | 16.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 1.5Over won
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5Over won
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5Under won
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.