Bundesliga · resolved market
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b08db20756e07a269db810293c3f82c7aba96d11181ebccd046564e80c3f75b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,121
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,854
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,121 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3333…15bdbacked Over | 74c | 6,103$4,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,604.86 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.84 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0748…a31ebacked Under | 40c | 4,940$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 24c | 4,508$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.53 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 4,101$1,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,790.79 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Under | 39c | 2,999$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.74 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 61c | 2,264$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.06 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 1,422$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.41 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 72c | 1,373$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.97 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Over | 61c | 800$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 44c | 735$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.81 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 60c | 700$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…0ac2backed Over | 63c | 637$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 38c | 613.61$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.62 | 228 | 29.4%67 W · 161 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Under | 39c | 591.51$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.67 | 77 | 22.1%17 W · 60 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Over | 61c | 575.08$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.08 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…f939backed Over | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 60c | 503$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.14 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 63c | 502.32$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.53 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3942backed Over | 61c | 493.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Under | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe220…f862backed Over | 61c | 459.72$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.29 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 41c | 458.51$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.8 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 39c | 443.29$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.88 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Over | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…8793backed Over | 53c | 390.83$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.69 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72b2…ffcabacked Under | 40c | 375$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 39c | 335.84$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.99 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…b935backed Over | 48c | 256.86$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.86 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Under | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 60c | 251.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.88 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85a1…a640backed Over | 62c | 199$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.62 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 57c | 174.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.28 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 56c | 168.15$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.81 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…1b85backed Over | 47c | 166.55$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.32 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…95a6backed Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 59c | 160$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.6 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 34c | 156.82$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +13.8wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +56%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 61c | 154.2$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.14 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00dc…d521backed Over | 62c | 150$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ee…1943backed Under | 40c | 147.78$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.11 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 59c | 147.14$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.05 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…b4f1backed Over | 56c | 125$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6187…f8a0backed Over | 60c | 121.6$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.64 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 44c | 119.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.75 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 61c | 109.84$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Over | 67c | 101.17$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 40c | 89.95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Under | 39c | 89.74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 59c | 84.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.83 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b79…a497backed Over | 60c | 82.06$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.78 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd395…3731backed Under | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3592…c81abacked Over | 62c | 80.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.29 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75fd…9a86backed Under | 40c | 78.15$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Under | 57c | 77.62$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.24 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Over | 61c | 77.38$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a38…adcebacked Under | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 78 | 25.6%20 W · 58 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd71…6714backed Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Under | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Under | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 113 | 60.2%68 W · 45 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x555f…7782backed Under | 50c | 55.59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…bfddbacked Over | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81dc…45a1backed Under | 40c | 55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 40c | 54.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Under | 48c | 50.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…630fbacked Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 58c | 49.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7de…4d6dbacked Under | 51c | 48.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 39c | 47.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3f…753cbacked Over | 61c | 45.11$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed Under | 46c | 44.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 45c | 38.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…0a4abacked Under | 53c | 37.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 58c | 37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x672f…13ccbacked Under | 52c | 36.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 130 | 73.1%95 W · 35 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…e52bbacked Over | 61c | 30.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 381 | 51.4%196 W · 185 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff0…271bbacked Over | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Under | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee43…ae9dbacked Under | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 63c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e0…b300backed Over | 38c | 27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…ce65backed Under | 51c | 25.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4454…c78abacked Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd885…c666backed Over | 56c | 24.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Under | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5this page
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 1.5Over won
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5Under won
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.