TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,121
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,854

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,121 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3333…15bdbacked Over74c6,103$4,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,604.861376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.23per pick54cpaid+39.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over60c5,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,999.8433244.6%148 W · 184 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0748…a31ebacked Under40c4,940$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under24c4,508$1,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,083.532,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under44c4,101$1,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,790.793,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Under39c2,999$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,169.744835.4%17 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over61c2,264$1,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.0644749.4%221 W · 226 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under51c1,422$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.411,35550.9%690 W · 665 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over72c1,373$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.973100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Over61c800$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31215540.6%63 W · 92 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over44c735$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.8118545.9%85 W · 100 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over60c700$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28022747.1%107 W · 120 L+11.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb2ca…0ac2backed Over63c637$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+57.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under38c613.61$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.6222829.4%67 W · 161 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Under39c591.51$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.677722.1%17 W · 60 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Over61c575.08$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.0838055.8%212 W · 168 L-0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c57…f939backed Over53c566.04$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.04977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick54cpaid+46.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over60c503$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.1410361.2%63 W · 40 L+8.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over63c502.32$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.534658.7%27 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8884…3942backed Over61c493.61$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.61250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Under41c487.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008846.6%41 W · 47 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe220…f862backed Over61c459.72$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.291850%9 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under41c458.51$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.878248.8%382 W · 400 L-28.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under39c443.29$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.8835856.4%202 W · 156 L+19.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Over59c400$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16431145%140 W · 171 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe77f…8793backed Over53c390.83$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.691957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x72b2…ffcabacked Under40c375$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Under39c335.84$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.998143.2%35 W · 46 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12056547.8%270 W · 295 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd76…b935backed Over48c256.86$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.864254.8%23 W · 19 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+38.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Under39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002412.5%3 W · 21 L-4.2wins-0.17per pick30cpaid-58.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over60c251.88$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.8814260.6%86 W · 56 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Over47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.775236.5%19 W · 33 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-22.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x85a1…a640backed Over62c199$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.628959.6%53 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over57c174.28$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.2834655.5%192 W · 154 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over56c168.15$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.811,30540.8%532 W · 773 L-42.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0068…1b85backed Over47c166.55$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.321942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-25.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x113f…95a6backed Over61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.932962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over59c160$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.630054%162 W · 138 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90a5…9dccbacked Over34c156.82$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.56761.2%41 W · 26 L+13.8wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+56%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over61c154.2$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.1410642.5%45 W · 61 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x00dc…d521backed Over62c150$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x54ee…1943backed Under40c147.78$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.111546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Over59c147.14$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.0551136.8%188 W · 323 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c1c…b4f1backed Over56c125$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552369.6%16 W · 7 L+4.1wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+42.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6187…f8a0backed Over60c121.6$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.644100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under44c119.99$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.757550.7%38 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over61c109.84$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8411748.7%57 W · 60 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3825352.2%132 W · 121 L-0.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb85e…e18dbacked Over48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.173250%16 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+27.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Over67c101.17$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.393852.6%20 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca61…f06abacked Over54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.27439.2%29 W · 45 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Over61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395267.3%35 W · 17 L+5.7wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under40c89.95$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8518746%86 W · 101 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe1d…219ebacked Under39c89.74$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354650%23 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over59c84.83$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.836339.7%25 W · 38 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4b79…a497backed Over60c82.06$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.783100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+67.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Over61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.975855.2%32 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd395…3731backed Under49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3592…c81abacked Over62c80.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.291566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+19.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x75fd…9a86backed Under40c78.15$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.911833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb29…ea29backed Under57c77.62$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.241127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick51cpaid-56.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed Over61c77.38$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.183342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a38…adcebacked Under69c72.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa87b…968bbacked Over45c66.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.677825.6%20 W · 58 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd71…6714backed Under49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Under39c60$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.45558.2%32 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Under39c60$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.411360.2%68 W · 45 L+10.1wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over43c58.14$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1412951.2%66 W · 63 L+12.1wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+14.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x555f…7782backed Under50c55.59$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50ca…bfddbacked Over45c55.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.561861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+31.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x81dc…45a1backed Under40c55$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2230%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under40c54.48$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.551,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked Under48c50.27$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.981145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203857.9%22 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209350.5%47 W · 46 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c16…630fbacked Under49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.53444.1%15 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x97b2…1c44backed Over58c49.99$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.755655.4%31 W · 25 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7de…4d6dbacked Under51c48.81$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.722958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under39c47.33$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4638748.3%187 W · 200 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc3f…753cbacked Over61c45.11$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.59785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick68cpaid+22.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x392c…0bb4backed Under46c44.68$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.61540%6 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Over51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.68636%31 W · 55 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over45c38.8$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2439558.7%232 W · 163 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x06da…0a4abacked Under53c37.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204440.9%18 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over58c37$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4249143.2%212 W · 279 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x672f…13ccbacked Under52c36.75$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7513073.1%95 W · 35 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xefa3…e52bbacked Over61c30.64$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.95333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-45.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1538151.4%196 W · 185 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ff0…271bbacked Over60c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124266.7%28 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Under40c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126331.7%20 W · 43 L-7.6wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-32%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xee43…ae9dbacked Under39c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.71752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over63c28$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3611955.5%66 W · 53 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7e0…b300backed Over38c27$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.74633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa55f…ce65backed Under51c25.9$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.321471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4454…c78abacked Under40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd885…c666backed Over56c24.23$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.712060%12 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Under62c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.49846.9%46 W · 52 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc209…7924backed Over60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.