Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Saint Mary's Gaels (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96653d00760c262de9b846949eaee72b5b7038663b014ee37c36e71b5c984ae0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Santa Clara Broncosof Saint Mary's Gaels, Santa Clara Broncos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,888
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,888 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44fd…b634backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 50c | 12,965$6,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,482.37 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Santa Clara Broncos | 51c | 7,140$3,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,498.58 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 50c | 4,584$2,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,288.44 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 49c | 3,723$1,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,824.34 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 52c | 3,294$1,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,597.62 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 49c | 2,416$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.99 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 49c | 2,015$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.78 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Santa Clara Broncos | 50c | 1,753$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.61 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 55c | 901.22$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.67 | 239 | 41.4%99 W · 140 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 49c | 799.13$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.55 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Santa Clara Broncos | 47c | 502.93$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.52 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Santa Clara Broncos | 47c | 446.71$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.35 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x096a…0074backed Santa Clara Broncos | 50c | 396.5$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.25 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Santa Clara Broncos | 50c | 348.46$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.23 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Santa Clara Broncos | 49c | 274.47$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.07 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Santa Clara Broncos | 63c | 258$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.46 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4683…1218backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 50c | 218.08$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.04 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Santa Clara Broncos | 50c | 198.25$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.13 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 38c | 194.87$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.71 | 343 | 43.4%149 W · 194 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 7c | 174.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x382f…c116backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 53c | 165.19$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 52c | 129.84$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.12 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 52c | 107.52$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.86 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 48c | 104.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 47c | 103.07$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Santa Clara Broncos | 51c | 97.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.62 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5093…f9f2backed Santa Clara Broncos | 50c | 96.63$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 20c | 95.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Santa Clara Broncos | 52c | 95.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.22 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Santa Clara Broncos | 50c | 79.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.79 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 49c | 71.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.49 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Santa Clara Broncos | 50c | 49.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 326 | 52.8%172 W · 154 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Santa Clara Broncos | 47c | 47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 29c | 45.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9c…4bb6backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 52c | 45.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 50c | 43.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Santa Clara Broncos | 48c | 41.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a66…2c23backed Santa Clara Broncos | 52c | 39.83$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d65…2d2bbacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 50c | 39.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Santa Clara Broncos | 51c | 34.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ee…26babacked Santa Clara Broncos | 47c | 32.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ea…066ebacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 52c | 29.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Santa Clara Broncos | 50c | 26.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…d420backed Santa Clara Broncos | 50c | 24.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 50c | 20.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 213 | 42.3%90 W · 123 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Saint Mary's Gaels (-4.5)this page
- Santa Clara Broncos vs. Saint Mary's GaelsSanta Clara Broncos won
- Santa Clara Broncos vs. Saint Mary's Gaels: O/U 147.5Under won
- Santa Clara Broncos vs. Saint Mary's Gaels: O/U 148.5Under won
- Santa Clara Broncos vs. Saint Mary's Gaels: O/U 149.5Under won
- Santa Clara Broncos vs. Saint Mary's Gaels: O/U 150.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.