Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Saint Mary's Gaels: O/U 147.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80d458a84e785616339ba73562ce1c2dd67600769b8dc2e969531036efb0ea1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,264
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,264 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 36c | 499.63$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.71 | 147 | 28.6%42 W · 105 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 59c | 441.05$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.36 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 57c | 366.31$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.54 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Under | 45c | 347.96$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.37 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Under | 44c | 198.28$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.03 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49a1…41cbbacked Over | 78c | 152.87$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 44c | 150.27$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.06 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 55c | 148.7$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.79 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Under | 44c | 114.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.4 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8c…dfbebacked Under | 42c | 92.79$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd790…a24ebacked Over | 48c | 84.27$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.23 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf342…1e14backed Under | 61c | 82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 38c | 81.13$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.12 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Under | 44c | 58.84$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +19.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 53c | 44.12$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…4108backed Over | 56c | 35.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Over | 57c | 34.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 34c | 33.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 40c | 32.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 45c | 29.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Under | 58c | 29.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3feb…6735backed Over | 67c | 26.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Over | 63c | 24.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…abb4backed Over | 68c | 15.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Santa Clara Broncos vs. Saint Mary's Gaels: O/U 147.5this page
- Santa Clara Broncos vs. Saint Mary's GaelsSanta Clara Broncos won
- Santa Clara Broncos vs. Saint Mary's Gaels: O/U 148.5Under won
- Santa Clara Broncos vs. Saint Mary's Gaels: O/U 149.5Under won
- Santa Clara Broncos vs. Saint Mary's Gaels: O/U 150.5Under won
- Spread: Saint Mary's Gaels (-4.5)Santa Clara Broncos won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.