Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Saint Mary's Gaels: O/U 150.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f109dcfb063e32b41cd336cd30189d1a5b55af224a9d947544dec9610592a8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,931
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,931 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Under | 53c | 3,965$2,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849.72 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 3,940$1,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,838.57 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Over | 47c | 459$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.73 | 239 | 48.1%115 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Under | 53c | 455$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.85 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 48c | 288.46$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.46 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Under | 52c | 285.94$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.25 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 23c | 176.89$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.88 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc740…522fbacked Under | 77c | 158$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.34 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 35c | 134.29$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.36 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 65c | 128.97$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.65 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Under | 58c | 128.38$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.92 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 40c | 115.51$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.73 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Under | 60c | 103.92$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.02 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Under | 64c | 84.82$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf342…1e14backed Under | 60c | 84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 43c | 69.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 44c | 59.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 50c | 45.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef49…1207backed Over | 49c | 30.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac1…3afebacked Under | 68c | 29.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over | 37c | 29.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 322 | 46.6%150 W · 172 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e9…8c3ebacked Over | 41c | 27.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…32a7backed Under | 74c | 21.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 70cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Santa Clara Broncos vs. Saint Mary's Gaels: O/U 150.5this page
- Santa Clara Broncos vs. Saint Mary's GaelsSanta Clara Broncos won
- Santa Clara Broncos vs. Saint Mary's Gaels: O/U 147.5Under won
- Santa Clara Broncos vs. Saint Mary's Gaels: O/U 148.5Under won
- Santa Clara Broncos vs. Saint Mary's Gaels: O/U 149.5Under won
- Spread: Saint Mary's Gaels (-4.5)Santa Clara Broncos won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.