CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs WW Team (BO3) - BC Game Masters Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e7dc265edde0fef687e6d7787044210ed438f85035ab878f2e81eeea60e06a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Nemesisof Team Nemesis, WW Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,803
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,803 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Team Nemesis | 56c | 2,029$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.26 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked WW Team | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.99 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd2…f8a0backed Team Nemesis | 56c | 1,300$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572 | 187 | 52.4%98 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked WW Team | 36c | 1,152$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.05 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -14.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda1a…3407backed Team Nemesis | 60c | 1,050$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.47 | 289 | 60.6%175 W · 114 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed WW Team | 45c | 896.01$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.53 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Team Nemesis | 54c | 610.86$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.43 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed WW Team | 41c | 462.57$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.15 | 259 | 34%88 W · 171 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x494c…8923backed WW Team | 42c | 379.43$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Nemesis | 52c | 355.41$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.43 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Nemesis | 67c | 304.47$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.48 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed WW Team | 45c | 285$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.87 | 330 | 44.5%147 W · 183 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Team Nemesis | 59c | 220.22$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.22 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…29dcbacked WW Team | 45c | 220$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Team Nemesis | 50c | 212.8$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.4 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed WW Team | 45c | 173.33$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34e8…100fbacked WW Team | 45c | 154$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed WW Team | 47c | 135.4$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.17 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85ae…5399backed WW Team | 48c | 120.43$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed WW Team | 22c | 116.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked Team Nemesis | 60c | 102.7$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.23 | 454 | 50.2%228 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…942bbacked Team Nemesis | 78c | 101$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.03 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Team Nemesis | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked WW Team | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Team Nemesis | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked WW Team | 46c | 92$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.32 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…f6bfbacked WW Team | 46c | 86.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked WW Team | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed WW Team | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked WW Team | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1e5ebacked WW Team | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked WW Team | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…b4d3backed WW Team | 41c | 74.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 298 | 40.3%120 W · 178 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…c40dbacked WW Team | 46c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Team Nemesis | 55c | 53.57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.11 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0e…ad94backed Team Nemesis | 79c | 48.23$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 113 | 65.5%74 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3a…fc88backed Team Nemesis | 66c | 45.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf27e…d69dbacked WW Team | 46c | 43.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +12.7wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked WW Team | 42c | 41.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ee…26babacked Team Nemesis | 74c | 40.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed WW Team | 36c | 40.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed WW Team | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed WW Team | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Nemesis | 75c | 34.47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked Team Nemesis | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked WW Team | 45c | 26.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Nemesis | 53c | 25.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e45…0391backed Team Nemesis | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf58…711fbacked WW Team | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d16…0abbbacked WW Team | 45c | 23.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf7…4b3abacked Team Nemesis | 58c | 22.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Nemesis | 54c | 22.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f50…e59ebacked Team Nemesis | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.