TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will Team Shaq win the 2025 NBA All Star Game Tournament?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$86,076
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$93,359

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,076 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbd03…c6e0backed Yes49c8,939$4,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,557.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked No28c7,800$2,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,165.880146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x024a…decbbacked No53c6,883$3,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,672.7614161%86 W · 55 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca21…b07cbacked Yes45c5,000$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,749.9922458.9%132 W · 92 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes46c3,760$1,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,046.635352.4%185 W · 168 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Yes56c2,917$1,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,290.1670147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa27b…5d5cbacked Yes42c2,529$1,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,466.920447.1%96 W · 108 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f41…83f5backed No10c1,876$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.424549%120 W · 125 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1872…ae0fbacked Yes45c1,711$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.116758.2%39 W · 28 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1d5…5684backed Yes45c1,472$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.484434.1%15 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes51c1,207$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.071,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef5c…ae33backed Yes38c1,187$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.15628.6%16 W · 40 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+104.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x021c…b735backed Yes53c1,141$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.841060%6 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Yes46c1,088$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.741,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x502b…a1d5backed Yes44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56025039.6%99 W · 151 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Yes42c999.99$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58035046%161 W · 189 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x75e5…7df4backed Yes58c823.14$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.173250%16 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58a3…279fbacked Yes43c810.5$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.667163.4%45 W · 26 L+7.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+29.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd398…46d7backed Yes68c754.97$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.153938.5%15 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+33.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No39c628.57$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.331,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Yes76c608.04$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.9312540%50 W · 75 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x42e0…0578backed No50c535$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.520553.7%110 W · 95 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Yes44c499.99$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.9995848.7%467 W · 491 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked No20c499$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.851037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x433b…58debacked Yes48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.675726.3%15 W · 42 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes58c373$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.021,11341.6%463 W · 650 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09f4…b7cfbacked Yes51c340.26$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7804…7025backed Yes44c307$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.925728.1%16 W · 41 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc80…2fdbbacked No45c300$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1346634.8%23 W · 43 L-5.9wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-21.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb49f…12e6backed No53c260$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Yes50c256.09$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.3263555.6%353 W · 282 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0710…42a2backed No55c254.82$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.991172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e93…c3bcbacked No58c223.74$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.573545.7%16 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4b3a…16fbbacked Yes45c220$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.217846.1%82 W · 96 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc20c…fa4bbacked Yes45c220$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1216358.7%37 W · 26 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+20.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb43c…904bbacked Yes49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.08771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+23.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No52c190$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.835049.4%173 W · 177 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe408…232bbacked Yes51c179.68$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.66847.1%32 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked No47c159.16$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.8110244.1%45 W · 57 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed Yes45c143.96$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.427929.1%23 W · 56 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70b5…f69fbacked No56c130.64$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e9b3backed Yes47c121.85$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe76d…427dbacked Yes47c119.74$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cee…1832backed Yes45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1119151.8%99 W · 92 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x682f…a5b1backed No56c108.95$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.01366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+23.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f64…ba01backed Yes49c102$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5242740.3%172 W · 255 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5093036.5%339 W · 591 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8175…e4b8backed No57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572123.8%5 W · 16 L-3.7wins-0.17per pick41cpaid-43.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb410…7736backed No55c99.98$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.99944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-30.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea28…3a0bbacked No57c99.98$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6515638.5%60 W · 96 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+11.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x17f6…93a2backed Yes51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.044634.8%16 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Yes40c92.86$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.7119448.5%94 W · 100 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes43c92.24$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.256113.1%8 W · 53 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick16cpaid+37.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95ea…d7b7backed Yes46c91.37$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.377342.5%31 W · 42 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf22d…ce8abacked Yes48c90$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes43c70.19$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1934644.2%153 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f3d…14f2backed Yes45c70$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+124.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3086…e474backed Yes48c60.31$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.36250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x144f…12c3backed Yes46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…649cbacked Yes49c52.98$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.869269.6%64 W · 28 L+12.1wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xad9d…9b95backed No54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2727548.7%134 W · 141 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdde0…7e6dbacked No56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfdc…d62fbacked Yes45c48.98$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd50…5a1cbacked No60c46.57$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x23e3…0b8ebacked Yes46c46.1$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+119.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bac…eb75backed No57c44.39$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c36…9929backed No60c44.18$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.51250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa76e…5c9cbacked Yes46c43.91$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.914100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+115.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa188…3fccbacked Yes47c41.3$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8936356.5%205 W · 158 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked Yes45c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2222955.9%128 W · 101 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8342…13c9backed Yes80c40$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823548.1%113 W · 122 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0ac…c521backed Yes44c39.43$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.08333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdff…8290backed Yes44c38.7$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.673100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc828…66b7backed Yes71c38.3$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf948…00b4backed Yes47c37.57$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+114.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad85…78fcbacked Yes45c36$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.81233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid+12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9836…8656backed Yes46c35.74$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+56.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd838…0c80backed Yes46c35.47$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.06250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc19…f065backed Yes42c34.1$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x782b…0ad8backed Yes44c34$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98e6…aadbbacked Yes47c33.74$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.74616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-64.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes42c31.04$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1220443.6%89 W · 115 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb76…0282backed Yes44c30.7$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f4f…b4b3backed No48c30.51$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6423438.9%91 W · 143 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x71b1…ac2cbacked Yes42c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5524334.2%83 W · 160 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe34b…3cf7backed Yes44c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+86.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d4b…3b97backed No57c29.54$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8440%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0144…b429backed Yes42c29.52$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd20b…4db2backed No60c29.02$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84c4…474dbacked Yes52c28.53$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.71540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ec9…8ef2backed Yes47c28.02$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.842425%6 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3429…ae83backed Yes44c28$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d81…ed25backed No57c27.25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5320%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0195…f3d8backed No60c27.17$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.330%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb60e…29c2backed No60c26.18$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10e7…9ec2backed Yes47c25.96$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+111.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29a9…eb3dbacked Yes43c25.95$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.73366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef64…863bbacked Yes45c25.53$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb41c…6f42backed Yes46c25.51$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+57.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6c8…8af0backed No60c25.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.