NBA · resolved market
Will Team Candace win the 2025 NBA All Star Game Tournament?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2cab9db8bd08657c7adedcb55776d8ab9d97728f680b67f74089c28961ddd79a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $236,062
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $241,975
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $236,062 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x23f1…e733backed Yes | 7c | 80,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Yes | 3c | 20,497$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.55 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Yes | 2c | 20,418$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.85 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Yes | 6c | 10,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…a715backed Yes | 5c | 10,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Yes | 5c | 1,344$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Yes | 6c | 1,331$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.88 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x795d…63e7backed Yes | 5c | 999.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 4c | 763.01$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Yes | 7c | 192.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9415…cb92backed Yes | 7c | 141$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 9c | 136.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 346 | 44.2%153 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Team Candace win the 2025 NBA All Star Game Tournament?this page
- Will Team Chuck win the 2025 NBA All Star Game Tournament?No won
- Will Team Kenny win the 2025 NBA All Star Game Tournament?No won
- Will Team Shaq win the 2025 NBA All Star Game Tournament?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.