NBA · resolved market
Will Team Chuck win the 2025 NBA All Star Game Tournament?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0627c2b543de2327a8b3bb629458184dc4f77cc5554fe5dc733f922979f2f999
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $207,078
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $210,022
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $207,078 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x45d7…bc74backed No | 66c | 71,025$46,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,148.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23f1…e733backed Yes | 34c | 71,000$24,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,140 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 54c | 11,228$6,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,138.65 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Yes | 51c | 10,919$5,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,622.95 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…dee1backed Yes | 37c | 9,625$3,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,586.5 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed No | 53c | 6,321$3,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,986.56 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 22c | 5,775$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.16 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Yes | 58c | 5,015$2,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,908.25 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 117 | 19.7%23 W · 94 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…6116backed Yes | 25c | 4,087$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.83 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 33c | 2,756$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.91 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed No | 62c | 2,472$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.36 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x286e…adb7backed No | 76c | 2,220$1,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.8 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked No | 55c | 1,703$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.75 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed No | 60c | 1,630$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.6 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03e5…dd0fbacked Yes | 34c | 1,616$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.97 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -8.4wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Yes | 33c | 1,100$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58a3…279fbacked No | 47c | 913.52$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.56 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Yes | 38c | 812.07$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.49 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc412…592dbacked Yes | 11c | 750$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Yes | 42c | 692.51$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.93 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Yes | 34c | 658.61$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d5…5684backed Yes | 39c | 634.76$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.87 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe408…232bbacked Yes | 29c | 550$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.5 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x831b…eed5backed Yes | 60c | 501.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c13…7ab3backed Yes | 34c | 490$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Yes | 36c | 444.5$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.02 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Yes | 6c | 424.48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…8b82backed Yes | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed No | 65c | 385.51$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.92 | 182 | 46.7%85 W · 97 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Yes | 29c | 352.41$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.23 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf482…d3c3backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…12e6backed No | 49c | 260$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 54c | 245$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.95 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…e43bbacked Yes | 59c | 220.84$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.58 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1192…32ebbacked No | 63c | 202.34$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Yes | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x242e…ee63backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 75c | 177$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.25 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…9ce4backed Yes | 59c | 168.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 199 | 52.3%104 W · 95 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…0d86backed Yes | 30c | 167.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x687f…cefebacked Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Yes | 32c | 152.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.86 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x433b…58debacked Yes | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 38c | 125$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…42a2backed No | 64c | 119.52$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.29 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f6…93a2backed Yes | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cee…1832backed Yes | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 191 | 51.8%99 W · 92 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ed…7aeabacked Yes | 41c | 102.44$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 163 | 41.7%68 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4374…1ddabacked Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea28…3a0bbacked No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e84…4b92backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf61f…f90fbacked Yes | 35c | 88.6$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.01 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd8…0b62backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7439…40d2backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc103…81e8backed Yes | 37c | 75.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95ea…d7b7backed Yes | 37c | 75.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 63c | 67.11$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 42c | 66.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 346 | 44.2%153 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…3fccbacked No | 64c | 46.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…1476backed No | 70c | 39.52$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Yes | 57c | 36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6644…35dbbacked Yes | 36c | 36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 353 | 52.4%185 W · 168 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1d…ca73backed Yes | 36c | 29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a5…0cf2backed Yes | 36c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1de2…35d1backed No | 65c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a5a…3b88backed No | 64c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…63debacked No | 64c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec9…8ef2backed Yes | 59c | 21.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x608a…dbdfbacked No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e3…fed3backed No | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Team Chuck win the 2025 NBA All Star Game Tournament?this page
- Will Team Candace win the 2025 NBA All Star Game Tournament?No won
- Will Team Kenny win the 2025 NBA All Star Game Tournament?No won
- Will Team Shaq win the 2025 NBA All Star Game Tournament?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.