NFL · resolved market
Will the Browns draft Travis Hunter in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd95ccd02a9693d6a9c7e4aebfd6a324a1e53632b3ef7ef9306a0473f165409af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,785
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,107
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,785 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked No | 20c | 7,017$1,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,620.17 | 176 | 48.9%86 W · 90 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 80c | 5,576$4,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,460.23 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9401…e9ffbacked No | 9c | 2,000$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,821 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 12cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 4c | 1,194$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.98 | 247 | 38.1%94 W · 153 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6337…1ebbbacked Yes | 38c | 645.62$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.21 | 186 | 29.6%55 W · 131 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 5c | 300$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…93c4backed No | 69c | 217.99$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.97 | 283 | 37.8%107 W · 176 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…580fbacked Yes | 52c | 140$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 78c | 133$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.43 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed Yes | 21c | 110$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae2…5dc1backed No | 16c | 95.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.81 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 31cpaid | +194.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 49c | 95.01$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.13 | 268 | 30.6%82 W · 186 L | -29.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6a…4846backed Yes | 64c | 84$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.53 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 69cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 21c | 80$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.57 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236f…413fbacked Yes | 73c | 76$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.31 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 62cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd93f…1e30backed No | 67c | 75.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.06 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…224dbacked No | 55c | 69$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ced…b02bbacked Yes | 58c | 68$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e72…9938backed Yes | 22c | 66.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 35c | 59.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80c5…168abacked Yes | 19c | 51.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked No | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b1…4702backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 78c | 34.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6115…2a89backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Browns draft Travis Hunter in 2025?this page
- Will the Giants draft Travis Hunter in 2025?No won
- Will the Jaguars draft Travis Hunter in 2025?Yes won
- Will the Patriots draft Travis Hunter in 2025?No won
- Will the Raiders draft Travis Hunter in 2025?No won
- Will the Titans draft Travis Hunter in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.