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Champions League · resolved market

Will Dinamo Zagreb qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,825
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,802

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,825 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x121f…15c1backed No47c1,674$794 inWon+$880.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+110.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4827…080dbacked Yes56c522.58$293 inLost-$292.76540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x321e…9292backed Yes52c408$214 inLost-$213.79250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafa4…0dfebacked No5c295.01$15 inWon+$280.26475%3 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick32cpaid+522.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4de5…e874backed Yes46c216.27$100 inLost-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+44.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1583…bddebacked No56c203$114 inWon+$89.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked Yes52c200$105 inLost-$104.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe457…5ab3backed Yes53c200$107 inLost-$106.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes53c187.92$100 inLost-$100.16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No34c120$41 inWon+$79.26160.7%37 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes21c110$23 inLost-$22.74933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes45c96.2$44 inLost-$43.668360.2%50 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed No40c81.1$32 inWon+$48.645058%29 W · 21 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes52c81$42 inLost-$42.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-51.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45e6…c078backed No34c80$27 inWon+$52.72250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+46.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes54c74$40 inLost-$39.982040%8 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfe…74e6backed No34c68.92$24 inWon+$45.422100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+178.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb410…7736backed No35c57$20 inWon+$37.265747.4%27 W · 30 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7957…ddbcbacked Yes60c48.66$29 inLost-$29.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeed8…35f0backed Yes53c45$24 inLost-$23.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cd2…c545backed No55c40.94$23 inWon+$18.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf48a…e256backed Yes60c40$24 inLost-$2410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b73…174ebacked Yes50c37$18 inLost-$18.361330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-43.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaa9…1737backed Yes52c34$18 inLost-$17.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4629…f3b1backed Yes52c30$16 inLost-$15.69366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+45.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb924…0803backed Yes52c24$13 inLost-$12.55742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-40.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x594e…1c11backed No59c20.1$12 inWon+$8.3540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+51.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x302e…88ccbacked Yes52c20$10 inLost-$10.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c2…bb4fbacked No54c20$11 inWon+$9.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb56…31adbacked Yes64c20$13 inLost-$12.7520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.37per pick57cpaid-51.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa86f…022cbacked Yes52c20$10 inLost-$10.48650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9776…d2cabacked Yes67c20$13 inLost-$13.41758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc2c…0a2cbacked Yes51c20$10 inLost-$10.1250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc31…3fe8backed No55c20$11 inWon+$9.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecd9…5565backed Yes53c20$11 inLost-$10.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0cd…d931backed Yes53c20$11 inLost-$10.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6639…7a83backed Yes53c20$11 inLost-$10.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86b4…a549backed Yes71c18.31$13 inLost-$13425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick67cpaid-53.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.