Europa Conference League · resolved market
UEFA Europa League: Athletic Club vs. Rangers (To Advance)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d7263787e4e847dc7722d2c6fe409546a9957c5cd8482d09b81130d0c8975a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Athletic Clubof Athletic Club, Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,753
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,806
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,753 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Rangers | 16c | 1,112$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.15 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…d655backed Rangers | 19c | 920$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Rangers | 12c | 797.18$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 53 | 5.7%3 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Rangers | 17c | 682.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.84 | 111 | 30.6%34 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Rangers | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked Rangers | 14c | 314.69$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.91 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e5…c8ebbacked Athletic Club | 77c | 299.49$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.84 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…009fbacked Rangers | 12c | 144.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x187f…c378backed Rangers | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed Rangers | 21c | 109.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Rangers | 26c | 102.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Rangers | 14c | 89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc14…e34cbacked Rangers | 19c | 80$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.