Earnings · resolved market
Will EA say "Mobile" during earnings call?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94af4afff74184e887c0973d12e7288adad1265fe731e7091d6d78be27857d6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,224
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,663
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,224 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4143…d67dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,379$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.75 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 71c | 1,338$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.24 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…ebaabacked Yes | 10c | 1,243$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd2…48e6backed Yes | 14c | 1,099$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b5…e5eebacked Yes | 11c | 891.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed Yes | 9c | 755.66$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 755.01$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.68 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ae…ee94backed Yes | 24c | 750$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c75…e37dbacked Yes | 23c | 656.2$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Yes | 11c | 646.38$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 22c | 546.24$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.21 | 218 | 20.2%44 W · 174 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x897d…01cbbacked Yes | 18c | 544.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…4547backed Yes | 36c | 542.84$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.83 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c2…f1d3backed No | 65c | 540.78$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.64 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17c9…5b69backed Yes | 33c | 540$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d6…fdd3backed No | 67c | 533.05$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.57 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c4…812fbacked Yes | 38c | 525.66$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.78 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 7c | 510$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa9…e2dabacked Yes | 6c | 503.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e5…7cb2backed Yes | 14c | 500$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ded…9025backed Yes | 25c | 480$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.6 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +10.1wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x23ca…9ae6backed No | 69c | 443.66$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.56 | 96 | 65.6%63 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…a038backed Yes | 26c | 437.35$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.23 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +12.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3342…df4ebacked Yes | 26c | 364.69$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba51…ff35backed Yes | 8c | 360$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…76f2backed Yes | 31c | 326.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3d…ad73backed Yes | 80c | 323.52$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 4c | 323.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…9b16backed Yes | 35c | 305$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da4…eddebacked Yes | 25c | 300$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9d…5954backed Yes | 21c | 300$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 8c | 297.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 80 | 12.5%10 W · 70 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d4…131ebacked Yes | 23c | 295.88$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f2…5bb5backed No | 64c | 270.09$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd03…c6e0backed No | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 12 | 100%12 W · 0 L | +5.1wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Yes | 8c | 247$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 5c | 237$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5439…6c5abacked No | 73c | 219.76$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…1766backed No | 60c | 217.69$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.08 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +5.3wins | +0.38per pick | 41cpaid | +113.2%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa4af…eac0backed No | 50c | 211.73$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.16 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccc8…e152backed Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1091…a259backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb8…5e8fbacked Yes | 40c | 199.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc2…5003backed No | 51c | 183.44$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b91…eec9backed Yes | 29c | 169.79$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x743b…df30backed Yes | 9c | 165.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0e…7fbbbacked Yes | 14c | 139.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0d…d3a5backed Yes | 31c | 105$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd39a…4c10backed Yes | 15c | 102.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df5…8b4fbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…ff53backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9d…cc93backed Yes | 13c | 79.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1886…d87fbacked Yes | 34c | 75.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc2…fcb4backed No | 72c | 56.25$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa2…c75fbacked No | 73c | 55.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0943…f3e5backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40c2…6ff9backed No | 74c | 42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed No | 77c | 41.53$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e1…f1a1backed Yes | 27c | 41.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a2…973cbacked No | 67c | 28.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked No | 59c | 23.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +38%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will EA say "Mobile" during earnings call?this page
- Will EA say "Acquisition" during earnings call?No won
- Will EA say "Competition" during earnings call?No won
- Will EA say "Jared / Kushner" during earnings call?No won
- Will EA say "Live Service" during earnings call?No won
- Will EA say "Player Engagement" during earnings call?No won
- Will EA say "Saudi Arabia" during earnings call?No won
- Will EA say "Skate" during earnings call?No won
- Will EA say "The Sims" during earnings call?No won
- Will EA say "Underperformance" during earnings call?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.