Earnings · resolved market
Will EA say "Acquisition" during earnings call?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb1078f7c6e0dcd311f54f6a9510015496b7e1f5be48a93be419baaa2c283ed4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,686
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,179
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,686 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4143…d67dbacked Yes | 0c | 5,620$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 47c | 2,105$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.97 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…ebaabacked Yes | 10c | 1,178$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5439…6c5abacked No | 53c | 1,046$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.65 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7cb…76fcbacked Yes | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 661.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.23 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b5…e5eebacked Yes | 23c | 533.34$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 4c | 501.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Yes | 11c | 490.12$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 15c | 392.06$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.55 | 80 | 12.5%10 W · 70 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Yes | 6c | 388$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 7c | 344$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6752…fafbbacked No | 69c | 287.79$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.34 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c41…42ebbacked Yes | 10c | 249.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ded…9025backed Yes | 23c | 246.89$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.51 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +10.1wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 5c | 246.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 218 | 20.2%44 W · 174 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc2…5003backed Yes | 22c | 243.54$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…37efbacked No | 48c | 241.92$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd03…c6e0backed No | 54c | 240$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.6 | 12 | 100%12 W · 0 L | +5.1wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa2…c75fbacked Yes | 27c | 211.64$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.78 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked No | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e194backed Yes | 29c | 174.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0f…18b4backed Yes | 24c | 168.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4af…eac0backed No | 70c | 132$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.08 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed No | 73c | 130$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…a038backed Yes | 31c | 130$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +12.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c11…20f4backed Yes | 17c | 118$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df5…8b4fbacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e5…7cb2backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe17…98e9backed No | 53c | 66.44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.23 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +354.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdb…703dbacked Yes | 17c | 66.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c03…eac9backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2853…3482backed No | 52c | 34.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…e5c6backed No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40c2…6ff9backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked No | 58c | 27.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +38%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will EA say "Acquisition" during earnings call?this page
- Will EA say "Competition" during earnings call?No won
- Will EA say "Jared / Kushner" during earnings call?No won
- Will EA say "Live Service" during earnings call?No won
- Will EA say "Mobile" during earnings call?No won
- Will EA say "Player Engagement" during earnings call?No won
- Will EA say "Saudi Arabia" during earnings call?No won
- Will EA say "Skate" during earnings call?No won
- Will EA say "The Sims" during earnings call?No won
- Will EA say "Underperformance" during earnings call?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.