Earnings · resolved market
Will EA say "Player Engagement" during earnings call?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc35a45f6d8f999abd941240d49ae52b815f4b22a15a52bc521176f5f33d9db0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,522
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,692
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,522 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac8c…415cbacked Yes | 4c | 581.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e5…7cb2backed Yes | 12c | 350$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…76f2backed Yes | 29c | 284.07$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8c…d8fabacked Yes | 8c | 242.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd689…dc54backed Yes | 24c | 213.92$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd03…c6e0backed No | 70c | 210$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 12 | 100%12 W · 0 L | +5.1wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x40c2…6ff9backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ded…9025backed Yes | 20c | 189.07$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.45 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +10.1wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49b5…e5eebacked Yes | 29c | 176.64$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.68 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5439…6c5abacked No | 68c | 173$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.58 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…a038backed Yes | 21c | 153$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +12.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…98eebacked Yes | 14c | 120$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa2…c75fbacked Yes | 33c | 110$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb72c…653ebacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe17…98e9backed No | 51c | 86.31$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.95 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +354.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 78c | 80$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23ca…9ae6backed No | 79c | 70$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 97 | 66%64 W · 33 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52e4…7d32backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked No | 73c | 15.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +38%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc2…fcb4backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will EA say "Player Engagement" during earnings call?this page
- Will EA say "Acquisition" during earnings call?No won
- Will EA say "Competition" during earnings call?No won
- Will EA say "Jared / Kushner" during earnings call?No won
- Will EA say "Live Service" during earnings call?No won
- Will EA say "Mobile" during earnings call?No won
- Will EA say "Saudi Arabia" during earnings call?No won
- Will EA say "Skate" during earnings call?No won
- Will EA say "The Sims" during earnings call?No won
- Will EA say "Underperformance" during earnings call?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.