CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Rare Atom (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x844be1255208cafa2b4dd48855087d6655ee710484f2c51ac832f993e4e788e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Legacyof Legacy, Rare Atom
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,063
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,864
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,063 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e5b…d4ecbacked Rare Atom | 3c | 11,068$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.03 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 18cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Rare Atom | 25c | 10,450$2,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,561.1 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Rare Atom | 31c | 9,932$3,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,079 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed Rare Atom | 20c | 9,370$1,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880.85 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Legacy | 72c | 8,981$6,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550.7 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3f…da87backed Rare Atom | 13c | 3,300$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.45 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rare Atom | 10c | 2,506$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.38 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…c65dbacked Rare Atom | 3c | 2,242$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.92 | 133 | 15.8%21 W · 112 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Rare Atom | 21c | 1,926$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.29 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Rare Atom | 8c | 1,500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 97 | 34%33 W · 64 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Legacy | 76c | 1,148$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.96 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Legacy | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 283 | 51.9%147 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Rare Atom | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec6…1d8ebacked Rare Atom | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Rare Atom | 35c | 857.14$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x928e…d701backed Legacy | 69c | 833.74$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.46 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…b518backed Rare Atom | 8c | 825$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc65…19a0backed Rare Atom | 17c | 599.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed Rare Atom | 18c | 561.11$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…55c3backed Rare Atom | 39c | 555.26$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed Legacy | 78c | 526.79$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.59 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…3984backed Rare Atom | 19c | 504.91$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.93 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed Legacy | 61c | 500.26$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.1 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf4…20b3backed Rare Atom | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Rare Atom | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70c…41d5backed Rare Atom | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 342 | 35.4%121 W · 221 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe761…cdb1backed Rare Atom | 7c | 464$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x644e…ff58backed Rare Atom | 15c | 425.38$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.58 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3cd3backed Legacy | 80c | 420$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 225 | 60.4%136 W · 89 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc31…133cbacked Rare Atom | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8022…789fbacked Rare Atom | 15c | 291.24$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.63 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf82c…0f6fbacked Rare Atom | 18c | 252.28$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.41 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Rare Atom | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 767 | 48%368 W · 399 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…d552backed Rare Atom | 10c | 245.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 186 | 24.2%45 W · 141 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0719…c6b9backed Rare Atom | 6c | 219.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…556cbacked Legacy | 69c | 217.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 323 | 52%168 W · 155 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…7a52backed Rare Atom | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe286…6896backed Rare Atom | 32c | 154.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Rare Atom | 8c | 151.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Legacy | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 263 | 60.8%160 W · 103 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7594…1f03backed Rare Atom | 20c | 130$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 116 | 25.9%30 W · 86 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked Legacy | 76c | 125$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed90…429ebacked Rare Atom | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaff2…11c5backed Rare Atom | 36c | 114.28$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f24…ea55backed Rare Atom | 33c | 105.19$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Rare Atom | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x936b…c603backed Rare Atom | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Rare Atom | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc4…306fbacked Rare Atom | 33c | 99.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f55…6389backed Legacy | 78c | 95.95$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.95 | 30 | 86.7%26 W · 4 L | +6.0wins | +0.20per pick | 67cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…89edbacked Rare Atom | 31c | 90$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 154 | 49.4%76 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…c4dfbacked Legacy | 77c | 90$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 268 | 62.3%167 W · 101 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed Rare Atom | 23c | 90$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Rare Atom | 13c | 77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7685…482cbacked Rare Atom | 21c | 73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0821…b58dbacked Legacy | 80c | 60.54$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04f8…9739backed Rare Atom | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…235cbacked Rare Atom | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 208 | 51.9%108 W · 100 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked Legacy | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x047a…941ebacked Rare Atom | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8af…a0a5backed Rare Atom | 35c | 34.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5076…e15dbacked Legacy | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 317 | 59.9%190 W · 127 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2962…2650backed Rare Atom | 34c | 29.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…61bcbacked Legacy | 66c | 29.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 142 | 39.4%56 W · 86 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d60…59bbbacked Legacy | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.