Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: OG vs Natus Vincere (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4181cd29eddaa702e9f86d841d60486d860fe6d3e931443364ad1a96d2b5cac5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- OGof OG, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $168,701
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $202,563
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $168,701 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb569…5695backed OG | 55c | 14,805$8,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,652.75 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac0d…b006backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 10,669$5,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,839.49 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…b2e0backed Natus Vincere | 23c | 9,421$2,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,144.35 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…daeebacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 8,622$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.99 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked OG | 51c | 8,348$4,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,090.49 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed OG | 53c | 6,600$3,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,096.8 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 18c | 6,244$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.37 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Natus Vincere | 14c | 4,107$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.74 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | +16.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 3,939$1,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,811.72 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere | 35c | 3,920$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.33 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked OG | 51c | 3,539$1,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.8 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 3,423$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 3,384$1,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,594.35 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Natus Vincere | 9c | 3,206$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.58 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 2,806$1,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.2 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20a5…de1bbacked OG | 59c | 2,500$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.19 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…c55ebacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 2,478$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.39 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 2,457$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.49 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Natus Vincere | 40c | 2,023$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.84 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked OG | 52c | 1,940$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.34 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked OG | 73c | 1,677$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.62 | 158 | 52.5%83 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6450…9547backed Natus Vincere | 10c | 1,580$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.09 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 1,429$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.03 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…3984backed OG | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Natus Vincere | 23c | 1,400$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b48…4705backed OG | 50c | 1,378$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.28 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +30%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x228a…1094backed OG | 56c | 1,320$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.6 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 1,223$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.75 | 206 | 42.2%87 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…6aedbacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.95 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed OG | 44c | 1,137$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.27 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc426…20b4backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 1,093$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfde9…51d7backed OG | 47c | 941.51$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.51 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 940.75$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.6 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed OG | 52c | 923.08$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.08 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…e8b1backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 879.69$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.85 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Natus Vincere | 10c | 879.17$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 681.5$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3445…d229backed Natus Vincere | 4c | 649.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Natus Vincere | 17c | 631.13$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.34 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed OG | 50c | 614.38$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.19 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 602.07$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 197 | 43.1%85 W · 112 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked OG | 40c | 599.99$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.99 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46c6…ba57backed Natus Vincere | 2c | 555.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked OG | 51c | 513.57$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.65 | 612 | 49.7%304 W · 308 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed OG | 44c | 500$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.58 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba94…c78bbacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed OG | 42c | 499.99$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed OG | 53c | 499.99$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Natus Vincere | 39c | 475.01$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.58 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3606…96f1backed Natus Vincere | 13c | 469.17$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…8f14backed Natus Vincere | 5c | 468.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 33cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fb…793ebacked Natus Vincere | 35c | 434.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed OG | 53c | 413.96$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.7 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 410.79$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.44 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Natus Vincere | 11c | 400$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 399.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked OG | 53c | 372.91$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.28 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed OG | 52c | 357.69$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.28 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +14.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 353.82$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.37 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 344.03$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.88 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe48…5895backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 338.98$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.61 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 320.01$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.45 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…3432backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 316.72$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.03 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd3…4191backed Natus Vincere | 17c | 300$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d9a…6e9ebacked OG | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 287.71$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…9ea9backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 280.82$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.58 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f2…cfd2backed Natus Vincere | 5c | 260$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 251.93$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.41 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 228.63$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.29 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed OG | 46c | 218.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.26 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a1…52e5backed Natus Vincere | 23c | 214.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1af5…d29cbacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Natus Vincere | 28c | 207.42$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.35 | 84 | 11.9%10 W · 74 L | -14.1wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…3964backed OG | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d1…ee7abacked Natus Vincere | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 243 | 45.3%110 W · 133 L | +15.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…db9dbacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 156 | 53.2%83 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ec…875cbacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed OG | 51c | 195.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.92 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1258…6a43backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 190$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd138…7058backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 168.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47f…d792backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 167$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.03 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Natus Vincere | 14c | 155.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfe…5247backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 152.85$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.07 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed OG | 43c | 143.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.08 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…56c0backed OG | 43c | 141.12$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.12 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b84…48e3backed OG | 54c | 136.66$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.1 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 130$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9718…dd82backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 128.35$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 127.98$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.75 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1c…c03abacked OG | 43c | 127.91$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.91 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 40cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…4d72backed Natus Vincere | 8c | 125.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 122.77$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.94 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6365…df4ebacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 225 | 38.7%87 W · 138 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked OG | 52c | 121.96$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.1 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 121.63$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 136 | 57.4%78 W · 58 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.