Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Liquid (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9bebb020153d255751ea40efd581d4fdaf8e8174a003625831aacd62c0df5c1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Tundra Esports, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,160
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,930
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,160 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Team Liquid | 34c | 8,109$2,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,390.57 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Tundra Esports | 60c | 7,423$4,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,457.85 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29f9…e310backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 6,589$4,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,337.22 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab5…aab4backed Team Liquid | 61c | 6,057$3,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,361.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64c2…d0afbacked Tundra Esports | 60c | 3,341$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.99 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Team Liquid | 29c | 3,039$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,158 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e6…2c48backed Tundra Esports | 0c | 2,670$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 4cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc50c…fe5dbacked Team Liquid | 34c | 2,666$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,756.7 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Liquid | 44c | 2,300$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.14 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2a…7879backed Team Liquid | 32c | 1,800$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 1,507$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.73 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Tundra Esports | 42c | 1,500$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.18 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Team Liquid | 69c | 1,456$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.49 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…abccbacked Tundra Esports | 67c | 1,435$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Team Liquid | 40c | 1,332$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.89 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Tundra Esports | 69c | 1,229$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.47 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e86…6e72backed Team Liquid | 32c | 1,100$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86f0…eb2abacked Tundra Esports | 68c | 1,100$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Tundra Esports | 69c | 1,078$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.6 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Team Liquid | 31c | 1,039$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.5 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Team Liquid | 58c | 985.33$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.84 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…8224backed Tundra Esports | 68c | 930$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…a7f0backed Tundra Esports | 68c | 870$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed Tundra Esports | 26c | 865.52$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.07 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Team Liquid | 42c | 799$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.62 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc64…d596backed Tundra Esports | 42c | 715.48$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…9b9cbacked Tundra Esports | 73c | 687.12$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Tundra Esports | 56c | 644.29$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.35 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Team Liquid | 45c | 638.83$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.84 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Tundra Esports | 43c | 603.61$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.13 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Team Liquid | 30c | 600.31$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.99 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x115d…1691backed Tundra Esports | 25c | 600$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.2 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Liquid | 41c | 574.96$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.73 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tundra Esports | 17c | 541.24$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.9 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd4…ea9abacked Tundra Esports | 56c | 536.6$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Tundra Esports | 7c | 502.31$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe08e…1d61backed Tundra Esports | 69c | 500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 46 | 78.3%36 W · 10 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Liquid | 50c | 489.31$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.57 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…556cbacked Team Liquid | 53c | 483.19$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.19 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Tundra Esports | 40c | 482.15$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.8 | 168 | 35.7%60 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Tundra Esports | 54c | 479.99$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.05 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Tundra Esports | 67c | 473.27$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.45 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…3984backed Team Liquid | 30c | 454.46$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.12 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…4734backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 434$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.57 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -32%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd2…a1fdbacked Tundra Esports | 44c | 432.27$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.06 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked Tundra Esports | 29c | 411.19$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.77 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…c864backed Team Liquid | 33c | 402.12$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.12 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked Tundra Esports | 54c | 398.92$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.84 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Team Liquid | 27c | 397.84$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.78 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Team Liquid | 49c | 395.75$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.9 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x733b…7260backed Tundra Esports | 70c | 392.15$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.51 | 24 | 83.3%20 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Tundra Esports | 44c | 387.86$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Team Liquid | 29c | 345.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.4 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa157…8641backed Team Liquid | 33c | 306.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.96 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…964dbacked Tundra Esports | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 62 | 6.5%4 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Liquid | 53c | 278.66$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.74 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…db9dbacked Team Liquid | 34c | 275.38$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.6 | 156 | 53.2%83 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x871c…7f0abacked Tundra Esports | 74c | 270.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2eca…6773backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…0ac1backed Team Liquid | 30c | 249.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.99 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…4c5abacked Team Liquid | 74c | 248.38$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.34 | 94 | 78.7%74 W · 20 L | +13.0wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Tundra Esports | 70c | 244.45$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718a…5d86backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 242.72$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.66 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Tundra Esports | 32c | 240.71$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.64 | 84 | 11.9%10 W · 74 L | -14.1wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Tundra Esports | 59c | 224.47$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.83 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 215$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.75 | 208 | 38.9%81 W · 127 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cc…3f0fbacked Tundra Esports | 71c | 212.56$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 59 | 72.9%43 W · 16 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f2…3263backed Tundra Esports | 73c | 205.36$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 61 | 75.4%46 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69b0…040fbacked Tundra Esports | 70c | 204.39$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.17 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad91…389cbacked Tundra Esports | 17c | 203$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.67 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Team Liquid | 30c | 202.83$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.38 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b47…25d3backed Tundra Esports | 40c | 202.42$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.97 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5f…7fbfbacked Tundra Esports | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Team Liquid | 28c | 171$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.41 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Tundra Esports | 28c | 169.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.69 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xace9…f74abacked Team Liquid | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91a8…2db7backed Tundra Esports | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 75%42 W · 14 L | +8.3wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +24%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8c04…3fdbbacked Tundra Esports | 70c | 129.18$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.14 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 60cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x730e…fca0backed Tundra Esports | 44c | 126$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.97 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Team Liquid | 44c | 123.11$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.51 | 83 | 28.9%24 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c61…470fbacked Team Liquid | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked Tundra Esports | 43c | 111.6$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 164 | 40.2%66 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Tundra Esports | 24c | 109.78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Tundra Esports | 70c | 108.57$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb22d…3a13backed Tundra Esports | 31c | 107.58$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Tundra Esports | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…3428backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73da…8c9bbacked Team Liquid | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…2071backed Team Liquid | 57c | 99.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…8193backed Tundra Esports | 70c | 95.44$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.81 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Tundra Esports | 15c | 95.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed Tundra Esports | 69c | 89.33$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.25 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d75…8b3abacked Team Liquid | 34c | 89.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.12 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33da…f818backed Tundra Esports | 69c | 85$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.65 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Team Liquid | 29c | 83.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.15 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6829…62c9backed Tundra Esports | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Tundra Esports | 71c | 82.04$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.37 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3099…d252backed Tundra Esports | 70c | 80.84$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.68 | 75 | 70.7%53 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…a5bebacked Team Liquid | 31c | 80.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.3 | 203 | 39.9%81 W · 122 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Liquid (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.