CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Lynn Vision (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4c94e5b5f5107268f23b2d5a1e2da9157bd6e480f75f8c6d1c26c64df4891a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NIPof NIP, Lynn Vision
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $126,671
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $145,274
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,671 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked NIP | 56c | 20,966$11,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,224.53 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed NIP | 56c | 12,188$6,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,414.01 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed Lynn Vision | 44c | 10,000$4,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,373.87 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed NIP | 58c | 8,957$5,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,743.56 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked Lynn Vision | 44c | 8,850$3,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,873.39 | 164 | 48.2%79 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd041…7b26backed Lynn Vision | 43c | 8,713$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,750 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Lynn Vision | 44c | 8,515$3,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,778.95 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed NIP | 58c | 6,763$3,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,844.1 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Lynn Vision | 17c | 5,372$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.94 | 144 | 41.7%60 W · 84 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4635…9f6fbacked NIP | 72c | 4,432$3,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.81 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed NIP | 59c | 3,738$2,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,535 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Lynn Vision | 11c | 3,191$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.17 | 97 | 34%33 W · 64 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Lynn Vision | 32c | 3,168$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.18 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Lynn Vision | 44c | 3,086$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.44 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Lynn Vision | 26c | 3,025$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.43 | 330 | 43.3%143 W · 187 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Lynn Vision | 13c | 3,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked NIP | 75c | 2,875$2,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.56 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Lynn Vision | 31c | 2,750$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.28 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec6…1d8ebacked NIP | 60c | 2,692$1,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.05 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Lynn Vision | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed NIP | 55c | 2,227$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.76 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Lynn Vision | 43c | 2,194$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.54 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8287…059ebacked Lynn Vision | 29c | 1,670$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.95 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked NIP | 61c | 1,641$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.76 | 274 | 52.9%145 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…ec26backed NIP | 57c | 1,372$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.96 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed NIP | 55c | 1,287$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.55 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc65…19a0backed NIP | 60c | 1,251$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.22 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Lynn Vision | 43c | 1,152$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc31…133cbacked Lynn Vision | 44c | 1,125$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fa…44e5backed Lynn Vision | 46c | 1,077$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x926e…13e5backed Lynn Vision | 40c | 1,022$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…3984backed NIP | 60c | 1,022$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.53 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Lynn Vision | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Lynn Vision | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Lynn Vision | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 241 | 39%94 W · 147 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Lynn Vision | 41c | 999.98$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.99 | 218 | 46.8%102 W · 116 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3342…f908backed NIP | 68c | 997.68$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.26 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Lynn Vision | 39c | 804.46$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.46 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a96…4e13backed Lynn Vision | 10c | 800$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 223 | 58.7%131 W · 92 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Lynn Vision | 43c | 783$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.69 | 192 | 47.9%92 W · 100 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Lynn Vision | 39c | 777$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.03 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x928e…d701backed Lynn Vision | 32c | 698.4$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.47 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…a367backed Lynn Vision | 34c | 675.47$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.63 | 283 | 44.2%125 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed NIP | 59c | 655$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.55 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed Lynn Vision | 31c | 649.84$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.15 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Lynn Vision | 34c | 620.23$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Lynn Vision | 43c | 600$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…86bebacked Lynn Vision | 39c | 600$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2960backed NIP | 66c | 595.96$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.97 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Lynn Vision | 41c | 582.73$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.92 | 175 | 38.3%67 W · 108 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Lynn Vision | 38c | 561.7$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.22 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4b…ab60backed NIP | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed NIP | 79c | 504.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.72 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf967…8cd4backed Lynn Vision | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c36…c1efbacked Lynn Vision | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb70c…41d5backed Lynn Vision | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 342 | 35.4%121 W · 221 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3911…30f3backed Lynn Vision | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 262 | 51.1%134 W · 128 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Lynn Vision | 31c | 455$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.68 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48a5…a903backed Lynn Vision | 41c | 454.77$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.46 | 114 | 40.4%46 W · 68 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked NIP | 75c | 439.39$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.75 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed NIP | 61c | 409.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Lynn Vision | 29c | 323.39$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f24…ea55backed NIP | 69c | 312.29$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.81 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4b…24d0backed NIP | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 66cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x644e…ff58backed Lynn Vision | 43c | 279$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.18 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6d…d09cbacked Lynn Vision | 40c | 277.27$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.3wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed NIP | 59c | 274$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.34 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed Lynn Vision | 37c | 245.95$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 305 | 27.5%84 W · 221 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aec…7d3cbacked NIP | 72c | 245.6$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.77 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…80d2backed Lynn Vision | 41c | 245$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 156 | 42.3%66 W · 90 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Lynn Vision | 38c | 238.76$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.73 | 283 | 51.9%147 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Lynn Vision | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 767 | 48%368 W · 399 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Lynn Vision | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed NIP | 68c | 232.35$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.35 | 149 | 52.3%78 W · 71 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…556cbacked NIP | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 323 | 52%168 W · 155 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…1913backed Lynn Vision | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Lynn Vision | 35c | 197.61$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Lynn Vision | 24c | 188.88$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed NIP | 58c | 179$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.18 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72c4…cfedbacked Lynn Vision | 29c | 172.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf282…038bbacked Lynn Vision | 43c | 162.79$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…4d0bbacked Lynn Vision | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8959…68e2backed Lynn Vision | 46c | 154.54$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…f035backed NIP | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e24…f4ccbacked Lynn Vision | 14c | 140$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…0710backed Lynn Vision | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 127 | 63%80 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd821…68d4backed NIP | 59c | 135.59$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fa…6745backed Lynn Vision | 40c | 134.65$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Lynn Vision | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked Lynn Vision | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe286…6896backed Lynn Vision | 44c | 114.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.33 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3d…cd13backed Lynn Vision | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed90…429ebacked Lynn Vision | 34c | 110$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcf…9272backed NIP | 58c | 109.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.3 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Lynn Vision | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc533…89c1backed Lynn Vision | 43c | 99.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…89edbacked Lynn Vision | 22c | 93.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 154 | 49.4%76 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…5c4abacked Lynn Vision | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Lynn Vision | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed NIP | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.