Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: MIBR vs NRG
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdafa182f797b28e14fb3a7b60a48b4b6b633d8bdab55f200906e31ca5e710177
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NRGof MIBR, NRG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,871
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,183
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,871 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4762…ba70backed NRG | 57c | 19,376$11,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,331.66 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +11.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6937…085dbacked NRG | 57c | 19,133$10,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,312.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed MIBR | 43c | 11,111$4,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,777.73 | 339 | 42.2%143 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed MIBR | 26c | 7,518$1,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,948.05 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed MIBR | 43c | 6,909$2,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,972.8 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…99ffbacked MIBR | 51c | 6,465$3,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed MIBR | 43c | 4,897$2,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,105.56 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed MIBR | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf967…8cd4backed MIBR | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed NRG | 59c | 1,699$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.61 | 196 | 55.6%109 W · 87 L | +12.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed MIBR | 44c | 1,404$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.74 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed MIBR | 41c | 1,346$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.58 | 173 | 32.4%56 W · 117 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed MIBR | 48c | 1,320$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.88 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ea…22ecbacked MIBR | 45c | 1,000$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked MIBR | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked MIBR | 43c | 999.98$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb99…5d0fbacked NRG | 59c | 978.42$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.42 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25ad…46fcbacked MIBR | 44c | 750$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5add…f36fbacked NRG | 64c | 698.98$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.63 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…28f8backed MIBR | 52c | 694.62$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4da…3e14backed MIBR | 16c | 650$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…efbebacked MIBR | 36c | 500$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked NRG | 56c | 437.22$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.3 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed MIBR | 45c | 432$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.4 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.2wins | -0.33per pick | 56cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed NRG | 57c | 394.23$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.52 | 229 | 55%126 W · 103 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb14c…7355backed NRG | 56c | 350$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked NRG | 56c | 349.99$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89a8…c206backed NRG | 58c | 315.52$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.52 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…5431backed NRG | 56c | 285.71$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.71 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc70e…7cd6backed MIBR | 43c | 279.07$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e8…f34cbacked MIBR | 43c | 252.93$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2353…45eabacked MIBR | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed MIBR | 45c | 239.76$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.02 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c96…f165backed MIBR | 34c | 219.05$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked MIBR | 18c | 200.37$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed MIBR | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed NRG | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x671f…af9cbacked MIBR | 44c | 112.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed MIBR | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed MIBR | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1974…29edbacked MIBR | 24c | 70.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -66%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcae1…7dddbacked NRG | 57c | 70$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x807a…2047backed MIBR | 44c | 65.91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -4.1wins | -0.41per pick | 61cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3c…a6a3backed MIBR | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…ec59backed NRG | 76c | 56.77$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed NRG | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 199 | 45.2%90 W · 109 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a68…6525backed MIBR | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked MIBR | 45c | 46.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed MIBR | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a6…f55fbacked MIBR | 31c | 41.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe83…5c7fbacked MIBR | 44c | 35.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ed…3895backed MIBR | 44c | 29.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…ca3ebacked NRG | 51c | 26.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.