CS2 · resolved market
BLAST.tv Austin Major: MOUZ vs. Virtus.pro
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f13cf8b29c3c45c4eb11623f4badfc1e58ce87a798cd6f6d59411000388f653
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virtus.proof MOUZ, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,520
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,827
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,520 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9dcb…3e9ebacked Virtus.pro | 32c | 11,727$3,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,959.45 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Virtus.pro | 44c | 7,926$3,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,440.1 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04c7…af7fbacked Virtus.pro | 70c | 3,916$2,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.23 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 68cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed MOUZ | 67c | 3,673$2,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,460.83 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x178e…76f7backed Virtus.pro | 32c | 3,485$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,354.86 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked MOUZ | 67c | 3,305$2,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,228.93 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed MOUZ | 68c | 3,137$2,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,122.92 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed MOUZ | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…2ef0backed MOUZ | 68c | 2,308$1,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,569.34 | 240 | 55.8%134 W · 106 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed MOUZ | 38c | 1,923$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.08 | 755 | 50.6%382 W · 373 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked MOUZ | 67c | 1,777$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.59 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed MOUZ | 68c | 1,600$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked MOUZ | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Virtus.pro | 32c | 1,250$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 160 | 33.8%54 W · 106 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…fe6bbacked Virtus.pro | 32c | 1,230$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.4 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed MOUZ | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.67 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed MOUZ | 35c | 899.72$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.98 | 135 | 32.6%44 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c56…8474backed Virtus.pro | 36c | 860$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.1 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked MOUZ | 67c | 739.24$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.29 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked MOUZ | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…97bebacked MOUZ | 50c | 724$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…aa69backed MOUZ | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked MOUZ | 70c | 700.47$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.33 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked MOUZ | 68c | 700$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked MOUZ | 68c | 553.13$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.38 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0564…ce95backed MOUZ | 72c | 500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed MOUZ | 55c | 488$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.19 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked MOUZ | 39c | 400$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 252 | 43.3%109 W · 143 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed Virtus.pro | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e70…19e8backed Virtus.pro | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d5…9562backed Virtus.pro | 22c | 299.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.99 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04f…64f4backed Virtus.pro | 40c | 280.45$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.45 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…6adbbacked MOUZ | 78c | 243.46$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.9 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed MOUZ | 69c | 213.77$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.2 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…3050backed Virtus.pro | 28c | 200$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed Virtus.pro | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 634 | 45.3%287 W · 347 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Virtus.pro | 61c | 195$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.05 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Virtus.pro | 31c | 188$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.72 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…ffb8backed Virtus.pro | 32c | 150.01$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.51 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d4…8d3cbacked Virtus.pro | 62c | 150$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked MOUZ | 68c | 150$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1613…4344backed MOUZ | 68c | 146.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Virtus.pro | 32c | 144$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.92 | 353 | 41.6%147 W · 206 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed MOUZ | 35c | 141.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5be2…8fa3backed MOUZ | 68c | 128.79$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.58 | 217 | 62.7%136 W · 81 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked MOUZ | 69c | 122.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.86 | 1,146 | 49.4%566 W · 580 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed MOUZ | 58c | 110$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.3 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd07…6bb7backed Virtus.pro | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ee…cf2cbacked Virtus.pro | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Virtus.pro | 54c | 94.37$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.41 | 132 | 23.5%31 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed MOUZ | 67c | 91.18$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.09 | 265 | 63%167 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked MOUZ | 68c | 88.17$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.96 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f8…e851backed MOUZ | 69c | 85.46$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.54 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…0055backed Virtus.pro | 33c | 81.48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 178 | 47.8%85 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c54…cc1ebacked MOUZ | 69c | 62$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.96 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 63cpaid | -14%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Virtus.pro | 31c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 422 | 57.3%242 W · 180 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0456…7208backed Virtus.pro | 29c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f58…254cbacked Virtus.pro | 31c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa4…b3f0backed Virtus.pro | 31c | 33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa8…38b1backed MOUZ | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d99…c98bbacked MOUZ | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1deb…04e4backed MOUZ | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb48…19b3backed MOUZ | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed MOUZ | 59c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 646 | 52.8%341 W · 305 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.