CS2 · resolved market
BLAST.tv Austin Major: Vitality vs. Legacy
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f5b06ddc40f65c3a883527b44d899f6d4ea1c374c869043607b0f45fce6efd9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Legacyof Vitality, Legacy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,511
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,892
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,511 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf520…0637backed Legacy | 27c | 3,618$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,627.78 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…cd12backed Vitality | 48c | 3,476$1,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,651.15 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dcb…3e9ebacked Legacy | 15c | 3,160$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,685.85 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Vitality | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Legacy | 24c | 1,900$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442.56 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Vitality | 70c | 1,854$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,302.4 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Legacy | 60c | 1,653$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.23 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Legacy | 17c | 1,251$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.33 | 160 | 33.8%54 W · 106 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Vitality | 8c | 840.66$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.25 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ee…cf2cbacked Legacy | 76c | 714.47$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.26 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Legacy | 61c | 696.77$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.77 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…6adbbacked Vitality | 80c | 622.12$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.7 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4e…b385backed Vitality | 76c | 528.51$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Legacy | 15c | 499.79$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.07 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e70…19e8backed Vitality | 76c | 459.22$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed Legacy | 65c | 458.52$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.52 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Legacy | 29c | 457.75$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.13 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe270…18b6backed Vitality | 46c | 435.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Legacy | 12c | 391.25$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.3 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Legacy | 16c | 353.2$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.58 | 132 | 23.5%31 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Vitality | 6c | 322.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 135 | 32.6%44 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Legacy | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Legacy | 16c | 300$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…4275backed Vitality | 64c | 300$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.83 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c56…8474backed Legacy | 37c | 269.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.1 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04f…64f4backed Vitality | 24c | 213.3$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Vitality | 39c | 200$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed Legacy | 16c | 200$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed Vitality | 62c | 188$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.56 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Legacy | 38c | 184.22$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.22 | 420 | 57.1%240 W · 180 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Legacy | 15c | 173.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.88 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Legacy | 58c | 160$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 353 | 41.6%147 W · 206 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Vitality | 12c | 160$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4895…0a83backed Legacy | 16c | 156.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.23 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Legacy | 56c | 154.47$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.41 | 249 | 43.8%109 W · 140 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…db6ebacked Vitality | 43c | 150$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.19 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…e7c2backed Vitality | 62c | 145.1$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a73…957dbacked Legacy | 15c | 133.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.03 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Vitality | 59c | 111$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.49 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…4d0bbacked Legacy | 66c | 102.01$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked Legacy | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…3050backed Vitality | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Vitality | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0456…7208backed Legacy | 14c | 80$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.8 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb2…3e05backed Legacy | 15c | 67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.95 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Legacy | 60c | 63.33$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 225 | 56%126 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…0055backed Vitality | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 178 | 47.8%85 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13cf…4441backed Vitality | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…2518backed Vitality | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9223…d2fcbacked Vitality | 40c | 36.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.