TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Gwangju: Alexis Galarneau vs August Holmgren

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
August Holmgrenof Alexis Galarneau, August Holmgren
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$54,892
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,079

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,892 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Alexis Galarneau3c9,001$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.987,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Alexis Galarneau5c5,804$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.229,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Alexis Galarneau29c4,064$1,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,191.312,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked August Holmgren66c3,998$2,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,351.5711,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Alexis Galarneau34c3,966$1,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,348.4619835.4%70 W · 128 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Alexis Galarneau25c3,716$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$937.6568026.2%178 W · 502 L-24.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed August Holmgren73c1,206$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.054,76049.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L+176.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Alexis Galarneau6c1,172$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.722,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed August Holmgren67c1,166$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.954,60267.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L+309.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed August Holmgren77c1,090$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.7565157.1%372 W · 279 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed August Holmgren46c1,077$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.9825342.7%108 W · 145 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a80…b808backed Alexis Galarneau54c1,044$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.959643.8%42 W · 54 L-10.2wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-22.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Alexis Galarneau5c917.88$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9185348.7%415 W · 438 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Alexis Galarneau10c760.93$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.763,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a5…f64abacked August Holmgren67c733.74$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.784963.1%536 W · 313 L+0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Alexis Galarneau50c700$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501,02646.8%480 W · 546 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc25c…1b21backed Alexis Galarneau52c541.67$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.6720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Alexis Galarneau24c490.98$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.7138013.9%53 W · 327 L-38.3wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-55.2%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Alexis Galarneau5c453.97$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8260355.4%334 W · 269 L+19.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Alexis Galarneau51c434.38$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.5498841.3%408 W · 580 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed August Holmgren80c415.48$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.053,79854.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L+111.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b6b…ec86backed August Holmgren48c403.67$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.911,06231.8%338 W · 724 L-27.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3252…1d21backed August Holmgren50c388$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19453241.5%221 W · 311 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0828…a1a6backed Alexis Galarneau50c379.91$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.9627248.2%131 W · 141 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed August Holmgren69c366.11$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.65,42256.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L+231.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Alexis Galarneau33c353.01$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.491,38116.4%227 W · 1,154 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Alexis Galarneau19c296.41$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1324634.1%84 W · 162 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cee…0d1ebacked Alexis Galarneau35c275.38$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.0918849.5%93 W · 95 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed August Holmgren65c272.99$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.5538955.3%215 W · 174 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fb5…b009backed August Holmgren49c266.12$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.724647.8%22 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+55.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Alexis Galarneau51c237.8$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.281,68350.6%851 W · 832 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe05f…1fe3backed August Holmgren73c229.2$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.3217958.1%104 W · 75 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6888…4c79backed August Holmgren74c202.08$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.0926957.6%155 W · 114 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked August Holmgren76c194.53$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6937071.9%266 W · 104 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed August Holmgren73c191.96$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.736,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Alexis Galarneau57c184.3$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.051,92655.4%1,067 W · 859 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked August Holmgren72c180.44$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.5239845.5%181 W · 217 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Alexis Galarneau52c180.26$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.731,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2798…a9c7backed Alexis Galarneau34c179.59$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.0611041.8%46 W · 64 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac9…cf1abacked Alexis Galarneau54c178.62$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2740264.4%259 W · 143 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed August Holmgren48c174.6$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.7942344.2%187 W · 236 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d85…c881backed August Holmgren43c171.26$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.62728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed August Holmgren47c158.78$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.161,58847%746 W · 842 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Alexis Galarneau50c153.9$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.957,18349.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L+112.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bc2…7ed7backed August Holmgren72c136.56$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.246753.7%36 W · 31 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked August Holmgren76c134.91$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.437,96850.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L+92.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Alexis Galarneau53c132$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9698055.4%543 W · 437 L+3.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked August Holmgren78c118.31$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.291,02843.3%445 W · 583 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x202f…7b58backed August Holmgren46c105.17$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.799839.8%39 W · 59 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05c5…8181backed August Holmgren48c100.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4883056.1%466 W · 364 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked August Holmgren46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541,24551.9%646 W · 599 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6b3…f8c1backed Alexis Galarneau14c96.13$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2315641.7%65 W · 91 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa589…96fcbacked Alexis Galarneau56c89.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.445945.8%27 W · 32 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed August Holmgren72c87$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3682055%451 W · 369 L+2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed August Holmgren63c86.05$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8450259%296 W · 206 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Alexis Galarneau54c78.73$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.611,27661%778 W · 498 L+27.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbced…5808backed August Holmgren71c77$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.3334860.3%210 W · 138 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked August Holmgren50c74.34$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.912,77653.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L+69.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed August Holmgren68c72.12$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.081,67353%887 W · 786 L+45.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked August Holmgren53c71.86$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.546,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ce1…2f49backed Alexis Galarneau28c66.53$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.635648.2%27 W · 29 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9158…ba55backed Alexis Galarneau53c65.91$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9825745.9%118 W · 139 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed August Holmgren67c56.68$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5995050.1%476 W · 474 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked August Holmgren72c53.29$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9537058.6%217 W · 153 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Alexis Galarneau54c51.85$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.897745.2%442 W · 535 L-0.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked August Holmgren72c50.87$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.281,35443.9%595 W · 759 L-62.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed August Holmgren42c50.52$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.334549.9%172 W · 173 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked August Holmgren46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked August Holmgren65c48.94$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.282,08952.2%1,090 W · 999 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e3…4874backed August Holmgren73c48$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7491880.5%739 W · 179 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick76cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked August Holmgren70c48$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.474955.1%413 W · 336 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed August Holmgren46c39.59$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.382,44051.7%1,261 W · 1,179 L+9.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17f7…a181backed August Holmgren48c39.36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4751347%241 W · 272 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf77c…61cabacked August Holmgren50c38.8$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.411846.6%55 W · 63 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Alexis Galarneau26c38.47$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed August Holmgren69c36.15$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2157267.3%385 W · 187 L+33.5wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf9ad…5097backed Alexis Galarneau34c35.53$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9728168.7%193 W · 88 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2fe…09c9backed August Holmgren50c34.63$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3122049.5%109 W · 111 L-8.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6687…b9ddbacked August Holmgren72c34.14$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5628454.9%156 W · 128 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf472…fd6ebacked August Holmgren72c34.14$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5610742.1%45 W · 62 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5101…4a4fbacked August Holmgren66c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.225366.8%169 W · 84 L+16.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x093b…4e14backed Alexis Galarneau53c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.917848.9%87 W · 91 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Alexis Galarneau40c26.14$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3580051%408 W · 392 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6442…d68bbacked Alexis Galarneau64c23.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8315146.4%70 W · 81 L-14.1wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-16.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked August Holmgren72c22.61$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.3343558.6%255 W · 180 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73dd…6e9ebacked August Holmgren76c20.03$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.771947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-26.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0576…9d28backed Alexis Galarneau52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.413553.3%72 W · 63 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b38…a036backed Alexis Galarneau53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.611949.6%59 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b2…dcc5backed August Holmgren65c17.63$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.124753.2%25 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a81…9070backed August Holmgren66c17.16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.8323759.1%140 W · 97 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0bf8…36c6backed August Holmgren72c14.54$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.076056.7%34 W · 26 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.