MLB · resolved market

Baltimore Orioles vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6342362e268b827512651771c37d3e4e2b9427de5c8d4106d89cd6808d3a525b

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Aug 7, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $307,235
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $292,757

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $307,235 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under	63c	109,693$68,604 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41,088.95	1,291	51%658 W · 633 L	-15.5wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bff…fc26backed Over	39c	97,055$37,852 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37,851.52	436	47%205 W · 231 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56b9…79a2backed Over	37c	79,800$29,626 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29,625.98	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.17per pick	42cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under	62c	54,768$33,910 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,857.9	11,356	52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L	+209.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under	60c	21,261$12,716 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,545.22	1,851	53.1%982 W · 869 L	+18.1wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under	62c	16,759$10,469 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,289.63	2,291	52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L	+24.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7822…9348backed Over	37c	11,784$4,360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,360.45	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-2.4wins	-0.30per pick	43cpaid	-71.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x719b…30e5backed Over	37c	10,000$3,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,699.99	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.23per pick	43cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4301…f601backed Over	37c	10,000$3,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,699.99	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	39c	8,446$3,272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,271.87	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ff1…98c0backed Over	37c	7,200$2,664 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,664	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	62c	6,868$4,252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,616.21	4,477	48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L	-47.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Over	39c	6,637$2,588 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,588.43	776	47.4%368 W · 408 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked Over	38c	5,828$2,215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,214.64	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bf1…b5afbacked Over	40c	5,636$2,255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,254.5	60	36.7%22 W · 38 L	-3.7wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-18%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2b8…3668backed Over	38c	5,635$2,141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,141.3	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.14per pick	51cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over	41c	5,172$2,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,100.35	6,116	55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L	+344.6wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Over	38c	3,981$1,513 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,512.78	235	38.3%90 W · 145 L	-8.5wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Over	38c	3,888$1,477 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,477.5	86	33.7%29 W · 57 L	-5.6wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7609…6c4ebacked Over	38c	3,000$1,140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,140	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-2.4wins	-0.20per pick	45cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Under	57c	2,807$1,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,207.37	660	50.2%331 W · 329 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over	39c	2,370$928 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$928.37	2,290	51%1,167 W · 1,123 L	+23.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over	43c	2,304$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.94	1,379	50.6%698 W · 681 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3116…b30dbacked Over	38c	2,268$862 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$861.84	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under	61c	2,050$1,251 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$799.5	1,909	53.5%1,021 W · 888 L	+29.1wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over	38c	1,714$653 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$652.94	1,555	48.9%761 W · 794 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0df9…0965backed Over	38c	1,701$646 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$646.38	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Over	39c	1,502$592 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$592.41	1,777	49.5%880 W · 897 L	+25.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over	22c	1,439$313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$313.23	2,969	48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L	-5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	40c	1,415$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$559.51	2,296	49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L	+37.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5633…59bcbacked Over	39c	1,404$548 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$547.56	279	52%145 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under	60c	1,369$821 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$547.57	1,569	51.1%801 W · 768 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under	57c	1,167$665 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$501.93	680	53.2%362 W · 318 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under	60c	1,084$646 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$438.3	8,295	47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L	+72.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Over	38c	1,007$383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$382.66	694	53.6%372 W · 322 L	+14.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over	40c	997.01$401 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$401.33	2,800	49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb88a…f6adbacked Over	39c	804$314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$313.56	287	53.3%153 W · 134 L	+10.5wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under	63c	767.29$483 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$283.9	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Over	42c	703.92$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.01	568	51.4%292 W · 276 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Over	42c	595$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.9	187	41.2%77 W · 110 L	-11.2wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over	43c	500$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215	1,836	50.8%932 W · 904 L	-3.9wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked Over	41c	499.99$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.86	80	45%36 W · 44 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over	39c	432.57$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.62	1,206	53.7%648 W · 558 L	+29.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	61c	400$243 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.67	5,400	50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L	+17.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Under	62c	391.5$242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149.28	877	50.4%442 W · 435 L	+12.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c8c…01c9backed Under	62c	319.99$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.4	51	41.2%21 W · 30 L	-3.3wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-22%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Over	38c	297.89$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.78	1,038	51.7%537 W · 501 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xff19…3ebebacked Over	41c	295.49$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.6	404	47.8%193 W · 211 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4934…5951backed Over	37c	270$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.9	112	58%65 W · 47 L	+8.2wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed Over	38c	263.14$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.99	165	52.7%87 W · 78 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over	45c	244.46$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.01	3,832	42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Under	63c	234.15$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.32	799	55.9%447 W · 352 L	+21.7wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Under	62c	201.89$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.31	478	52.3%250 W · 228 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd34e…c973backed Under	62c	168$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.84	18	77.8%14 W · 4 L	+4.3wins	+0.24per pick	54cpaid	+43.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb6b5…2a6cbacked Over	37c	160.02$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.2wins	-0.20per pick	47cpaid	-46.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Under	62c	139.36$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.58	1,245	56.9%708 W · 537 L	+31.4wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Over	42c	135.63$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.39	564	35.1%198 W · 366 L	-21.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x81a9…df08backed Over	37c	135$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.95	99	49.5%49 W · 50 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a6a…56bdbacked Over	45c	122.24$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.35	133	45.9%61 W · 72 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Over	38c	120$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.6	283	47.3%134 W · 149 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Under	61c	119.9$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.7	305	48.9%149 W · 156 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Over	37c	110$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.7	232	55.2%128 W · 104 L	+13.2wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Under	62c	100$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38	541	46.8%253 W · 288 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83fc…2bedbacked Over	38c	100$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.23per pick	48cpaid	-55.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ede…23e5backed Over	40c	100$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.4wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over	42c	97.81$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.43	2,944	47.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L	+4.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d2c…00b5backed Under	62c	95.11$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.14	88	46.6%41 W · 47 L	-3.7wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5317…9a3bbacked Under	62c	95$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.1	153	40.5%62 W · 91 L	-10.0wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Under	56c	89.2$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.25	476	52.9%252 W · 224 L	+17.2wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d9f…10cabacked Under	62c	80.65$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.65	64	56.3%36 W · 28 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbcd6…f3c8backed Over	43c	71.67$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.82	375	46.9%176 W · 199 L	-8.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd3c…35cfbacked Over	37c	64$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.68	127	52%66 W · 61 L	+3.7wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Over	39c	52.5$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.48	348	46.8%163 W · 185 L	-12.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb675…779fbacked Over	40c	50$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97d4…7b65backed Over	37c	50$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.5	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	+3.4wins	+0.09per pick	39cpaid	+31.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Over	38c	48.5$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.43	1,195	50%597 W · 598 L	+5.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x9a51…bf4cbacked Over	42c	47.1$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.78	278	52.2%145 W · 133 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over	37c	44.37$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.42	1,284	49.5%635 W · 649 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Over	42c	44.25$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.59	674	44.1%297 W · 377 L	+27.8wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6888…4c79backed Over	38c	44$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.72	267	51.7%138 W · 129 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Over	38c	44$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.72	1,299	50.9%661 W · 638 L	-3.9wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6808…899bbacked Over	41c	44$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.04	49	42.9%21 W · 28 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe49f…850cbacked Over	39c	43.59$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Over	38c	38$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.44	767	52.3%401 W · 366 L	+5.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdfc…6690backed Under	62c	32.26$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.26	19	68.4%13 W · 6 L	+2.7wins	+0.14per pick	54cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a96…b382backed Over	38c	32$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.16	396	52.8%209 W · 187 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cef…fa91backed Over	40c	30.93$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.37	146	47.3%69 W · 77 L	-5.8wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e4a…4ce0backed Over	38c	30$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.4	161	55.9%90 W · 71 L	+8.0wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b9c…8927backed Over	38c	28$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.64	187	51.9%97 W · 90 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over	40c	26.97$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.79	996	24.6%245 W · 751 L	-70.1wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Over	38c	26.4$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.03	781	55.6%434 W · 347 L	+28.9wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d98…c601backed Over	39c	26$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.14	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under	71c	22.93$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.63	1,813	49.1%891 W · 922 L	-26.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-12%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under	68c	21.25$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.8	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5this page
Baltimore Orioles vs. Texas RangersTexas Rangers won
Baltimore Orioles vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 3.5Under won
Baltimore Orioles vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5Under won
Baltimore Orioles vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 9.5Under won
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Texas RangersNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event