MLB · resolved market
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe9e71d577529235327afacb3eea794e71716468eb50634ecdbc7a07970e5cf7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,230
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,356
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,230 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 1,585$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.75 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 54c | 1,459$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.64 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 47c | 1,220$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.87 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 37c | 1,216$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.08 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 38c | 1,213$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.02 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 953.87$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.64 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Under | 54c | 923.84$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.99 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 53c | 852.62$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.17 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Under | 47c | 785.31$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.4 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 533.55$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.25 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Under | 50c | 386.69$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.66 | 232 | 44%102 W · 130 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 58c | 382.13$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.03 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Under | 47c | 309$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.77 | 293 | 44.7%131 W · 162 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 46c | 249.99$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x303a…7c84backed Over | 48c | 201.56$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.62 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb675…779fbacked Under | 54c | 187.67$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.33 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Over | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x055a…12ddbacked Over | 55c | 178.19$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.28 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Over | 54c | 135.06$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.93 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51f4…3e21backed Over | 21c | 133.36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 250 | 34.8%87 W · 163 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce1…2f49backed Under | 79c | 133$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.96 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Under | 47c | 103$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.59 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 41c | 93.61$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.45 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 52c | 92.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…6559backed Over | 34c | 89.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 51c | 89.93$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.37 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Under | 57c | 86.09$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.36 | 123 | 49.6%61 W · 62 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…a9c7backed Under | 47c | 82.07$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.3 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 46c | 80.03$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.22 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 37c | 73.89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e6…a1ecbacked Over | 20c | 66.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34de…8e6bbacked Over | 21c | 54.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 47c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 52c | 47.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55a3…fd93backed Over | 24c | 43.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 73c | 39.91$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc74c…2413backed Under | 62c | 39.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…f5f4backed Under | 48c | 38.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 247 | 48.2%119 W · 128 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…7936backed Over | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 32c | 34.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Over | 46c | 34.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 99 | 33.3%33 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x902f…fb2dbacked Over | 45c | 33.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Over | 47c | 29.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 1,057 | 50.2%531 W · 526 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 79c | 27.19$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf933…5bc6backed Over | 52c | 27.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Over | 54c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 443 | 47.9%212 W · 231 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…98f2backed Under | 47c | 25.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x436a…e76abacked Under | 47c | 23.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +212.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc987…123abacked Over | 56c | 20.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -5.9wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 54c | 19.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dd…69ddbacked Under | 72c | 19.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…e155backed Over | 61c | 16.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5this page
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Detroit TigersDetroit Tigers won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Detroit TigersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.