Tennis · resolved market
Cancun: Alan Magadan vs Alex Hernandez
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11bcef1a6b472293c66bcd6092e13d62722e2791039fdc1644d94768b0ebd233
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alan Magadanof Alan Magadan, Alex Hernandez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $110,557
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $124,472
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,557 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Alex Hernandez | 30c | 13,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 219 | 44.3%97 W · 122 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked Alex Hernandez | 43c | 7,161$3,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,044.23 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alex Hernandez | 18c | 6,331$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.54 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alan Magadan | 64c | 6,300$4,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,292.55 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed Alan Magadan | 67c | 4,508$3,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,491.66 | 635 | 56.7%360 W · 275 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Alex Hernandez | 63c | 4,200$2,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,646 | 1,047 | 50%524 W · 523 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Alex Hernandez | 25c | 2,672$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.87 | 1,512 | 24.1%364 W · 1,148 L | -41.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Alex Hernandez | 14c | 2,106$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.5 | 1,824 | 46.5%849 W · 975 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa08…d98abacked Alex Hernandez | 67c | 1,551$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.74 | 256 | 61.3%157 W · 99 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Alan Magadan | 34c | 1,534$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.61 | 641 | 47.7%306 W · 335 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked Alan Magadan | 31c | 1,500$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.96 | 526 | 44.3%233 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Alan Magadan | 78c | 1,300$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.42 | 746 | 54.8%409 W · 337 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Alex Hernandez | 20c | 1,194$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.23 | 1,314 | 39%512 W · 802 L | -23.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Alan Magadan | 70c | 1,143$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.65 | 1,008 | 57.7%582 W · 426 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec3…e330backed Alan Magadan | 61c | 1,002$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.04 | 439 | 47.2%207 W · 232 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Alex Hernandez | 34c | 787.52$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.1 | 1,745 | 48.1%840 W · 905 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Alan Magadan | 75c | 632.19$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.29 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Alex Hernandez | 15c | 630.98$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.38 | 792 | 38.3%303 W · 489 L | -15.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe23d…3c72backed Alex Hernandez | 9c | 600$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 54 | 7.4%4 W · 50 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Alex Hernandez | 6c | 558.06$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 417 | 48.2%201 W · 216 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…5339backed Alex Hernandez | 29c | 553.45$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.22 | 115 | 39.1%45 W · 70 L | -11.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alex Hernandez | 18c | 533.95$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.71 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Alex Hernandez | 14c | 340$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.17 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Alan Magadan | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Alex Hernandez | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,882 | 57.4%1,081 W · 801 L | +104.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Alan Magadan | 66c | 265.15$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.15 | 929 | 53.5%497 W · 432 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Alex Hernandez | 53c | 229.79$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.98 | 436 | 52.1%227 W · 209 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Alan Magadan | 64c | 192.56$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.87 | 659 | 42.2%278 W · 381 L | -25.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Alex Hernandez | 37c | 192.03$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.71 | 1,076 | 54.8%590 W · 486 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Alex Hernandez | 19c | 183$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.77 | 1,404 | 42.8%601 W · 803 L | -31.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c7…d291backed Alex Hernandez | 59c | 170$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed Alan Magadan | 35c | 166.02$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.1 | 223 | 41.3%92 W · 131 L | -20.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Alan Magadan | 78c | 160.46$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.95 | 1,673 | 53%887 W · 786 L | +45.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Alex Hernandez | 33c | 160$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 455 | 49.7%226 W · 229 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…edcfbacked Alan Magadan | 61c | 160$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 154 | 57.8%89 W · 65 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Alex Hernandez | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 396 | 46.5%184 W · 212 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Alex Hernandez | 68c | 151.08$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.87 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Alex Hernandez | 64c | 144$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.16 | 820 | 55%451 W · 369 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Alan Magadan | 64c | 134.29$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.92 | 1,960 | 43.8%858 W · 1,102 L | -20.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Alan Magadan | 36c | 120.65$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.96 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Alex Hernandez | 33c | 117.61$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.81 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Alex Hernandez | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 279 | 43.4%121 W · 158 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Alex Hernandez | 33c | 111.45$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.78 | 2,179 | 37%807 W · 1,372 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Alex Hernandez | 17c | 101.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Alex Hernandez | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.6 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed Alan Magadan | 67c | 91.54$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 173 | 55.5%96 W · 77 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Alan Magadan | 40c | 89.98$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 1,904 | 44.1%839 W · 1,065 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Alex Hernandez | 21c | 89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Alex Hernandez | 25c | 87.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 1,766 | 45.9%810 W · 956 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x874b…4af0backed Alex Hernandez | 68c | 86.71$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.08 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Alan Magadan | 54c | 79.86$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.52 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Alan Magadan | 68c | 78.64$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked Alex Hernandez | 15c | 74.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 162 | 30.9%50 W · 112 L | +14.9wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…b795backed Alex Hernandez | 31c | 72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 578 | 41%237 W · 341 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Alex Hernandez | 25c | 68.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…0559backed Alex Hernandez | 70c | 65.41$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.79 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…db95backed Alan Magadan | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 340 | 52.1%177 W · 163 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Alan Magadan | 74c | 59.2$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 2,887 | 39.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L | -84.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Alex Hernandez | 38c | 53.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2413…2442backed Alex Hernandez | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbab2…9decbacked Alex Hernandez | 63c | 47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 300 | 51.7%155 W · 145 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2031…5ee7backed Alan Magadan | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7db2…9fecbacked Alex Hernandez | 63c | 45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55a8…e802backed Alan Magadan | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 363 | 42.1%153 W · 210 L | -16.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Alan Magadan | 49c | 32.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 471 | 66.5%313 W · 158 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd7…1735backed Alan Magadan | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 144 | 64.6%93 W · 51 L | +14.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea5…6c53backed Alan Magadan | 64c | 30.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 222 | 47.7%106 W · 116 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Alan Magadan | 58c | 29.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 207 | 58.5%121 W · 86 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1053…805bbacked Alex Hernandez | 69c | 27.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc28b…3683backed Alan Magadan | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked Alan Magadan | 60c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 375 | 58.1%218 W · 157 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…b695backed Alan Magadan | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Alex Hernandez | 62c | 20.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 208 | 57.2%119 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Alex Hernandez | 71c | 20.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 950 | 50.1%476 W · 474 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff16…c211backed Alex Hernandez | 68c | 17.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.