Tennis · resolved market
Prague 2: Cezar Cretu vs Maxim Mrva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad4b7833e4d3ead3da2614c08353bcf016b6546e97c35ed60c5d66af656f270e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maxim Mrvaof Cezar Cretu, Maxim Mrva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,949
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,749
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,949 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe23d…3c72backed Cezar Cretu | 1c | 10,832$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.83 | 51 | 7.8%4 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb2…126abacked Cezar Cretu | 7c | 5,538$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Cezar Cretu | 1c | 3,000$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Cezar Cretu | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4890…03f1backed Cezar Cretu | 4c | 2,000$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.94 | 99 | 16.2%16 W · 83 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Cezar Cretu | 9c | 1,766$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…3d8cbacked Cezar Cretu | 14c | 1,128$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 92 | 32.6%30 W · 62 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Cezar Cretu | 9c | 1,071$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.28 | 369 | 46.9%173 W · 196 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Cezar Cretu | 3c | 726$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Cezar Cretu | 35c | 600$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Cezar Cretu | 17c | 499.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 465 | 51.2%238 W · 227 L | -23.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Cezar Cretu | 34c | 468.1$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.14 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Cezar Cretu | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 445 | 27.2%121 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Maxim Mrva | 65c | 430.76$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.77 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc81…e889backed Cezar Cretu | 39c | 396.65$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.78 | 179 | 42.5%76 W · 103 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Maxim Mrva | 70c | 357.14$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.14 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dce…b2acbacked Maxim Mrva | 66c | 303.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.86 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cezar Cretu | 4c | 292.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Maxim Mrva | 65c | 230.77$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 917 | 54%495 W · 422 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8f…14d1backed Cezar Cretu | 12c | 229.92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 249 | 36.5%91 W · 158 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd1…a282backed Cezar Cretu | 14c | 214.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Cezar Cretu | 25c | 194.49$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Cezar Cretu | 35c | 189$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.51 | 695 | 45.8%318 W · 377 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd215…757abacked Maxim Mrva | 66c | 134.5$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.84 | 289 | 54.3%157 W · 132 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked Maxim Mrva | 64c | 120.02$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.21 | 370 | 58.4%216 W · 154 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Cezar Cretu | 35c | 114.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Cezar Cretu | 32c | 101.19$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1e…20aebacked Maxim Mrva | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Cezar Cretu | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Cezar Cretu | 37c | 99.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 939 | 45.5%427 W · 512 L | +20.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe66…285cbacked Cezar Cretu | 15c | 98.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Cezar Cretu | 34c | 89$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…2e6abacked Cezar Cretu | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 299 | 45.8%137 W · 162 L | +20.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Cezar Cretu | 32c | 79.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d1…73edbacked Maxim Mrva | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 88 | 67%59 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff7…ecf8backed Cezar Cretu | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Maxim Mrva | 64c | 55.36$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.93 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Maxim Mrva | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 557 | 48.8%272 W · 285 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Maxim Mrva | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…edcfbacked Maxim Mrva | 65c | 49$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 147 | 57.8%85 W · 62 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Cezar Cretu | 35c | 47.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Maxim Mrva | 66c | 44.47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Maxim Mrva | 63c | 42.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…a082backed Maxim Mrva | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 425 | 63.3%269 W · 156 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Maxim Mrva | 64c | 38.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Maxim Mrva | 61c | 34.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 690 | 47%324 W · 366 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeedc…d4c0backed Maxim Mrva | 64c | 33.22$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 148 | 70.3%104 W · 44 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x115f…f51dbacked Maxim Mrva | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1c…5bc8backed Maxim Mrva | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x301f…e84cbacked Maxim Mrva | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 302 | 68.9%208 W · 94 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Maxim Mrva | 66c | 30.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 718 | 57.7%414 W · 304 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b6…9b2cbacked Maxim Mrva | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 155 | 57.4%89 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf2…ac54backed Maxim Mrva | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5b…1ddfbacked Cezar Cretu | 35c | 29.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2996…fd9dbacked Maxim Mrva | 70c | 28.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Cezar Cretu | 36c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Maxim Mrva | 64c | 26.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 205 | 58.5%120 W · 85 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed Maxim Mrva | 64c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 281 | 64.4%181 W · 100 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13b2…5486backed Maxim Mrva | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 87 | 77%67 W · 20 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.