WNBA · resolved market
New York Liberty vs. Portland Fire
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab036b76276bbc2b34cd5caab4c7aad50d378e54d97d4cdd00d08ade2e971b0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Portland Fireof New York Liberty, Portland Fire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,706
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,005
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,706 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Portland Fire | 36c | 18,366$6,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,727.15 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Portland Fire | 14c | 7,605$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,556.49 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed New York Liberty | 37c | 4,850$1,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,802.38 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7120…7c4ebacked Portland Fire | 10c | 3,958$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,579.1 | 82 | 28%23 W · 59 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…09a5backed Portland Fire | 13c | 3,800$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,305.99 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +57%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed New York Liberty | 55c | 3,239$1,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,779.11 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Portland Fire | 13c | 2,474$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,155.51 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Portland Fire | 14c | 1,818$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.5 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…c105backed Portland Fire | 25c | 1,734$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.94 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed New York Liberty | 64c | 1,573$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Portland Fire | 61c | 1,303$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.98 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed New York Liberty | 79c | 1,254$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63df…63d1backed Portland Fire | 15c | 1,151$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.84 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | +8.2wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b59…5e72backed Portland Fire | 11c | 1,122$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.28 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked New York Liberty | 47c | 1,094$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.26 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed New York Liberty | 74c | 1,090$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.32 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Portland Fire | 10c | 1,025$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked New York Liberty | 79c | 929.27$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.01 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Portland Fire | 24c | 837.86$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.07 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 57cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Portland Fire | 23c | 799.99$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed Portland Fire | 15c | 697.86$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.94 | 130 | 24.6%32 W · 98 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked New York Liberty | 77c | 687.8$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.92 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Portland Fire | 15c | 626.87$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.26 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Portland Fire | 11c | 616.5$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +482.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0cccbacked Portland Fire | 8c | 600$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +176.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked New York Liberty | 58c | 598.44$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.89 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Portland Fire | 17c | 590$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.37 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Portland Fire | 12c | 571.88$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.66 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Portland Fire | 40c | 539.01$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Portland Fire | 11c | 533.93$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.71 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d46…3248backed New York Liberty | 56c | 526.05$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Portland Fire | 11c | 499.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.99 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Portland Fire | 12c | 499.98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.99 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked New York Liberty | 52c | 497.94$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.18 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked New York Liberty | 59c | 425.1$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.77 | 149 | 36.9%55 W · 94 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Portland Fire | 15c | 414.03$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.09 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Portland Fire | 20c | 336.33$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.98 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Portland Fire | 28c | 324.91$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.69 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75b6…8ad0backed Portland Fire | 36c | 316.89$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe23d…3c72backed Portland Fire | 10c | 300$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +900%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed New York Liberty | 24c | 257.52$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.84 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Portland Fire | 8c | 250$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +106%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked New York Liberty | 13c | 243$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Portland Fire | 13c | 223.08$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed New York Liberty | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Portland Fire | 14c | 200$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x238d…eb74backed New York Liberty | 19c | 196$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +203.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed New York Liberty | 65c | 192.01$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.66 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa10…e0f4backed Portland Fire | 13c | 187.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +283.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0817…b071backed Portland Fire | 19c | 184.21$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 17cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78a0…3a2fbacked Portland Fire | 12c | 160.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed New York Liberty | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 39 | 0%0 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New York Liberty | 67c | 145.89$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.2 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed2b…d4eabacked Portland Fire | 66c | 134.61$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed New York Liberty | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed New York Liberty | 20c | 120$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Portland Fire | 64c | 119.59$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.05 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Portland Fire | 17c | 117.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.22 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed New York Liberty | 67c | 114.2$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.46 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…8f36backed New York Liberty | 62c | 112.36$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked New York Liberty | 79c | 101.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.86 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked New York Liberty | 29c | 101$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Portland Fire | 31c | 91.9$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.3 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Portland Fire | 27c | 81.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.93 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed New York Liberty | 42c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…1bbabacked Portland Fire | 13c | 79.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +644.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca29…a1d0backed New York Liberty | 37c | 78.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Portland Fire | 29c | 77$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.46 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked Portland Fire | 15c | 71.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.82 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Portland Fire | 49c | 70.06$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.73 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Portland Fire | 49c | 70.06$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.73 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked New York Liberty | 64c | 62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Portland Fire | 25c | 58.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.82 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked New York Liberty | 76c | 58.2$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.09 | 188 | 44.1%83 W · 105 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445b…cc32backed New York Liberty | 69c | 56.52$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed Portland Fire | 35c | 51.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked New York Liberty | 46c | 47.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9b…aff7backed New York Liberty | 71c | 40.89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed New York Liberty | 78c | 33.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 67cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed New York Liberty | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd8…73f6backed New York Liberty | 67c | 19.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed New York Liberty | 64c | 18.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe00d…4251backed New York Liberty | 68c | 17.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe94…b9cdbacked New York Liberty | 70c | 15.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Liberty vs. Portland Firethis page
- New York Liberty vs. PortlandFire: O/U 173.5Over won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-11.5)PortlandFire won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-12.5)PortlandFire won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-13.5)PortlandFire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.