Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Virtus.pro (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc91659982d62e75d13bc677dcb9be418338d4737d1baf0b0939d5e73ca678d6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virtus.proof Team Tidebound, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,340
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,079
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,340 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Virtus.pro | 57c | 7,109$4,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,052.4 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6471backed Team Tidebound | 66c | 6,573$4,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,336.74 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…de6bbacked Team Tidebound | 69c | 6,328$4,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,373.9 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Team Tidebound | 41c | 5,496$2,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,233.88 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Virtus.pro | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,299.99 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Virtus.pro | 57c | 4,968$2,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,134.4 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | +16.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…f7e2backed Virtus.pro | 57c | 4,748$2,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,056.45 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed Virtus.pro | 62c | 3,407$2,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.71 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdb…4d30backed Virtus.pro | 35c | 2,270$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.27 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Team Tidebound | 42c | 2,200$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.6 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…c764backed Virtus.pro | 77c | 2,000$1,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.09 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 67cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Tidebound | 35c | 1,730$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.28 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf1…c324backed Team Tidebound | 63c | 1,580$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Virtus.pro | 65c | 1,546$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.81 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Team Tidebound | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Virtus.pro | 36c | 1,490$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.42 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Team Tidebound | 25c | 1,376$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.73 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Team Tidebound | 64c | 1,250$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Team Tidebound | 61c | 1,211$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.34 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked Virtus.pro | 32c | 1,070$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.98 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x803d…368bbacked Team Tidebound | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x354a…c9d1backed Virtus.pro | 32c | 999.76$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.84 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Virtus.pro | 36c | 963.89$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.89 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…964dbacked Team Tidebound | 3c | 939.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 62 | 6.5%4 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked Virtus.pro | 69c | 871.38$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.38 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Team Tidebound | 28c | 782.7$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.16 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…b2e0backed Team Tidebound | 68c | 603$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.64 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Virtus.pro | 35c | 600$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Team Tidebound | 65c | 600$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -5.0wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -46%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb787…ad0abacked Virtus.pro | 55c | 541.72$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.57 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Virtus.pro | 36c | 525$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Virtus.pro | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…db9dbacked Team Tidebound | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 156 | 53.2%83 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Team Tidebound | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Team Tidebound | 24c | 480.01$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.09 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked Team Tidebound | 68c | 436.76$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Virtus.pro | 30c | 433.62$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.52 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed Virtus.pro | 46c | 397.14$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.43 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ed…617ebacked Virtus.pro | 70c | 393.88$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.84 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Virtus.pro | 34c | 387.5$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.32 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Team Tidebound | 29c | 381.11$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.62 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd3…c066backed Team Tidebound | 66c | 367.5$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.25 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Virtus.pro | 65c | 342.73$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.05 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Team Tidebound | 60c | 338.5$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.2 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Team Tidebound | 56c | 334.85$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 412 | 48.8%201 W · 211 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Team Tidebound | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd138…7058backed Team Tidebound | 65c | 322.18$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5571…4015backed Virtus.pro | 67c | 309.37$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.57 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Virtus.pro | 39c | 266.29$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.93 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Virtus.pro | 35c | 250$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.5 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd4…ea9abacked Team Tidebound | 45c | 242.86$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd36b…d4d4backed Team Tidebound | 47c | 241.34$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dd…ea96backed Team Tidebound | 37c | 236.26$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.46 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Team Tidebound | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Virtus.pro | 41c | 219.51$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.51 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Tidebound | 36c | 201.45$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.1 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…940abacked Virtus.pro | 70c | 200.1$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.03 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Virtus.pro | 72c | 199.99$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce24…6239backed Team Tidebound | 36c | 199.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.75 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Team Tidebound | 64c | 199.98$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.99 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f0…fae5backed Virtus.pro | 61c | 164.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.43 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Team Tidebound | 33c | 160$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00a9…36bbbacked Team Tidebound | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Virtus.pro | 65c | 153.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.31 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb97…3622backed Team Tidebound | 65c | 150$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed Team Tidebound | 59c | 150$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -63%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7622…3aeabacked Virtus.pro | 35c | 150$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Team Tidebound | 67c | 148.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed Team Tidebound | 69c | 146.52$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Virtus.pro | 61c | 138.2$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.2 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked Virtus.pro | 68c | 137.66$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.05 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Virtus.pro | 36c | 136.86$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.94 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Virtus.pro | 45c | 133.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.69 | 173 | 42.8%74 W · 99 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8254…137fbacked Team Tidebound | 31c | 132.68$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.13 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Virtus.pro | 38c | 121.86$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.88 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb70c…0af4backed Virtus.pro | 67c | 118.66$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Virtus.pro | 34c | 113.78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.91 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Tidebound | 62c | 110.13$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.91 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87d5…fe30backed Virtus.pro | 40c | 105.4$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x115d…1691backed Virtus.pro | 38c | 103.59$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.64 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Virtus.pro | 78c | 100.01$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Virtus.pro | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd053…3202backed Virtus.pro | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Virtus.pro | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Team Tidebound | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Virtus.pro | 64c | 92.5$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea7…8fd2backed Team Tidebound | 48c | 80.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.67 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2eca…6773backed Team Tidebound | 63c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be9…40cbbacked Virtus.pro | 38c | 79.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.67 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Team Tidebound | 38c | 77.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf8…89b0backed Team Tidebound | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0424…95ddbacked Team Tidebound | 70c | 71.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3099…d252backed Team Tidebound | 59c | 70.77$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 75 | 70.7%53 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf051…a54cbacked Virtus.pro | 65c | 70.06$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6365…df4ebacked Virtus.pro | 37c | 66.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.84 | 225 | 38.7%87 W · 138 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Virtus.pro | 66c | 63.33$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x824d…1271backed Virtus.pro | 33c | 61.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.05 | 240 | 26.7%64 W · 176 L | -30.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x097f…df92backed Team Tidebound | 37c | 61.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Virtus.pro | 35c | 59.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.99 | 236 | 50.4%119 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…82b4backed Team Tidebound | 33c | 59.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Virtus.pro (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 WinnerVirtus.pro won
- Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 WinnerVirtus.pro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.