Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5559c52f1a161f4e992962a01f0918b35611261f8578197c85477de262d386ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virtus.proof Team Tidebound, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,742
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,900
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,742 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Virtus.pro | 46c | 10,796$4,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,840.54 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed Team Tidebound | 59c | 6,856$4,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,014.49 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Tidebound | 49c | 6,394$3,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,151.13 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Tidebound | 54c | 6,315$3,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400.75 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…d804backed Team Tidebound | 13c | 3,995$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.37 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29f9…e310backed Virtus.pro | 52c | 3,419$1,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,657.9 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Team Tidebound | 49c | 3,182$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575.13 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Virtus.pro | 64c | 3,146$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.04 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…932fbacked Virtus.pro | 46c | 2,153$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.61 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Virtus.pro | 53c | 1,870$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.59 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Virtus.pro | 76c | 1,202$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.89 | 180 | 75%135 W · 45 L | +18.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Team Tidebound | 62c | 1,080$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.35 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Team Tidebound | 64c | 1,036$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.21 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Virtus.pro | 45c | 1,000$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec61…4a2ebacked Virtus.pro | 33c | 906.13$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.6 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Team Tidebound | 51c | 813.53$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.52 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Team Tidebound | 53c | 800.58$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.68 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Team Tidebound | 67c | 751.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Team Tidebound | 60c | 600$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Virtus.pro | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked Virtus.pro | 34c | 595.81$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.81 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00a9…36bbbacked Team Tidebound | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…964dbacked Team Tidebound | 7c | 436.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.18 | 62 | 6.5%4 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Virtus.pro | 47c | 423.6$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.6 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Team Tidebound | 60c | 335.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd4…ea9abacked Team Tidebound | 36c | 320$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed Team Tidebound | 69c | 300$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Team Tidebound | 73c | 274.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc76b…5fbabacked Virtus.pro | 55c | 272.71$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.72 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked Team Tidebound | 56c | 239.99$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.49 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Virtus.pro | 39c | 234.58$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.09 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee8…6c2ebacked Virtus.pro | 44c | 201.47$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Team Tidebound | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Team Tidebound | 61c | 199.97$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.98 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Team Tidebound | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Team Tidebound | 49c | 174.25$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.94 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb787…ad0abacked Virtus.pro | 42c | 165.86$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.86 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ac…86d0backed Virtus.pro | 54c | 160$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.6 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Virtus.pro | 39c | 157.95$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.35 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3731…405fbacked Team Tidebound | 14c | 146.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…e109backed Team Tidebound | 55c | 129.5$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.28 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fd…104ebacked Team Tidebound | 56c | 127.29$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.28 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed Team Tidebound | 50c | 119.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +11.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…089bbacked Team Tidebound | 63c | 113.86$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.3 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7540…46dbbacked Team Tidebound | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…0329backed Virtus.pro | 32c | 92.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.54 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Virtus.pro | 32c | 82$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Virtus.pro | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Team Tidebound | 57c | 61.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Virtus.pro | 49c | 56.86$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x796b…56fdbacked Team Tidebound | 56c | 53.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.19 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…3ad4backed Virtus.pro | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x687c…8c91backed Team Tidebound | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Virtus.pro | 41c | 48.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.68 | 236 | 50.4%119 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked Team Tidebound | 74c | 47.74$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.54 | 468 | 72.2%338 W · 130 L | +36.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Team Tidebound | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea5…6696backed Team Tidebound | 48c | 42.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +25%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Team Tidebound | 52c | 40.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9de0…d8b7backed Virtus.pro | 52c | 39.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdff…265ebacked Virtus.pro | 38c | 39.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18dd…6bf2backed Virtus.pro | 42c | 37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…bc0dbacked Virtus.pro | 43c | 34.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +133.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x891c…ef89backed Virtus.pro | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ece…8211backed Team Tidebound | 59c | 29.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb382…c498backed Virtus.pro | 38c | 28.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Team Tidebound | 72c | 25.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…532bbacked Team Tidebound | 67c | 19.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dd…ea96backed Team Tidebound | 71c | 19.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Virtus.pro (BO3)Virtus.pro won
- Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 WinnerVirtus.pro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.