Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc459bc7370e8e597cfe6b50ceea492ba34a5b174081aae45e88a3632f2cdc8c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virtus.proof Team Tidebound, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,518
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,871
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,518 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Virtus.pro | 54c | 8,000$4,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,696.15 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29f9…e310backed Team Tidebound | 55c | 7,105$3,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,890.25 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Virtus.pro | 47c | 4,224$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,224.07 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed Virtus.pro | 46c | 3,985$1,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,162.01 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f48…218cbacked Team Tidebound | 54c | 3,182$1,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Team Tidebound | 63c | 3,139$1,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,971 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3df8…a696backed Team Tidebound | 41c | 2,500$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Virtus.pro | 29c | 2,272$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,618.21 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Team Tidebound | 52c | 2,164$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.67 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Team Tidebound | 78c | 1,747$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.47 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Virtus.pro | 61c | 1,650$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.84 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed Virtus.pro | 7c | 1,554$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.21 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +11.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Team Tidebound | 53c | 1,270$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.84 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…d804backed Virtus.pro | 46c | 883.21$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.4 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Virtus.pro | 33c | 808.09$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.88 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Team Tidebound | 62c | 805.56$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked Team Tidebound | 60c | 736.89$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.5 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43ac…86d0backed Virtus.pro | 64c | 700$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Virtus.pro | 39c | 693.86$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.25 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Virtus.pro | 35c | 678.5$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.82 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3a…0338backed Team Tidebound | 79c | 671.58$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.55 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe48…5895backed Team Tidebound | 30c | 670.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Team Tidebound | 78c | 643.04$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Team Tidebound | 59c | 623.87$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.39 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…964dbacked Team Tidebound | 6c | 611.79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.66 | 62 | 6.5%4 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Virtus.pro | 41c | 611.35$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.67 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Virtus.pro | 52c | 607.46$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.46 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Team Tidebound | 12c | 600$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…940abacked Team Tidebound | 78c | 500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed Team Tidebound | 59c | 452.81$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.09 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Virtus.pro | 65c | 450.27$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.1 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | +16.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Team Tidebound | 68c | 400$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Virtus.pro | 27c | 342.31$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.81 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…0f01backed Virtus.pro | 79c | 294.07$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.75 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +474.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Team Tidebound | 60c | 267.04$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1866…1325backed Team Tidebound | 58c | 259.48$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.5 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Virtus.pro | 42c | 240$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.2 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Virtus.pro | 40c | 200.56$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.15 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Team Tidebound | 59c | 179.29$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.78 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5db0…73f1backed Virtus.pro | 73c | 166.48$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.43 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…5473backed Virtus.pro | 26c | 150$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.5 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa59a…71eebacked Virtus.pro | 44c | 125$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.35per pick | 57cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xce24…6239backed Team Tidebound | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Virtus.pro | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Virtus.pro | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd4…ea9abacked Team Tidebound | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fac…bdd8backed Team Tidebound | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…6f98backed Virtus.pro | 36c | 99.13$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.41 | 203 | 61.6%125 W · 78 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Team Tidebound | 61c | 88.52$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Team Tidebound | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Team Tidebound | 40c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…c132backed Virtus.pro | 41c | 77.57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.77 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae2a…384dbacked Team Tidebound | 60c | 75.91$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed Team Tidebound | 35c | 71.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Team Tidebound | 40c | 70$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 269 | 58.7%158 W · 111 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de0…d8b7backed Team Tidebound | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3099…d252backed Team Tidebound | 77c | 59.21$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 75 | 70.7%53 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed Team Tidebound | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…e109backed Team Tidebound | 28c | 50.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c04…3fdbbacked Team Tidebound | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 60cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdb…512cbacked Team Tidebound | 36c | 49.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x693c…a7edbacked Virtus.pro | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00c6…7d8cbacked Virtus.pro | 41c | 45.51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.85 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…0329backed Team Tidebound | 56c | 35.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…1dccbacked Virtus.pro | 43c | 34.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd47f…41f9backed Team Tidebound | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x796b…56fdbacked Virtus.pro | 44c | 24.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1182…b6bbbacked Team Tidebound | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Virtus.pro (BO3)Virtus.pro won
- Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 WinnerVirtus.pro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.