TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Villarreal CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$84,797
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$91,141

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,797 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under52c36,176$18,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,879.24,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Over52c19,817$10,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,512.154942.9%21 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over50c13,000$6,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,529.8430446.7%142 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Under49c11,145$5,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,437.152962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+23.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1748…a816backed Under52c8,263$4,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2801136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-28.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Over50c8,042$4,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0211947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over50c4,565$2,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,263.1353246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under49c3,042$1,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,490.5412648.4%61 W · 65 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6df1…ea12backed Over52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.99560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5873…f69abacked Over17c2,999$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,489.172227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid+15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over48c2,519$1,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,310.471,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over52c1,500$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.523452.6%123 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over52c1,442$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.2820054%108 W · 92 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f03…766dbacked Over54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.931275%9 W · 3 L+3.7wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+68.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x19d3…a652backed Over50c880$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Under49c725.63$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.0910245.1%46 W · 56 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Under48c673.24$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.167250%36 W · 36 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Under46c630$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.815851.3%81 W · 77 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Under48c625$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006238.7%24 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Over18c601.24$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.86929%20 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under47c599.98$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.9918650%93 W · 93 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over52c500$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.865058%29 W · 21 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x43de…d169backed Over48c492.92$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.922330.4%7 W · 16 L-4.7wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-39.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over51c490.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.211037.3%41 W · 69 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Over50c466.51$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.955941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under50c453.87$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.951,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under48c353.17$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.5231745.7%145 W · 172 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x92ae…a7b0backed Under60c333.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cb1…984ebacked Over58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1262955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14434252%178 W · 164 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under57c279.79$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.473,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under71c270.04$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.7323152.8%122 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over51c268.78$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.7815451.3%79 W · 75 L+14.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1428…017cbacked Under49c222.35$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.95850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x789b…4c08backed Under50c203.16$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.432035%7 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-30.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xedc6…314abacked Over51c201.96$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.96862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Under48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9616342.3%69 W · 94 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed Under51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Over50c198.04$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.042661.5%16 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under46c182.92$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1df…16c1backed Over55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.822560%15 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe5ea…52dbbacked Over54c179.41$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.535034%17 W · 33 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd0…07a9backed Over52c169$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.12560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over51c167.6$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.630842.9%132 W · 176 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over25c161.2$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.28236.6%30 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ec8…397bbacked Under48c161$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.421050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under48c123.36$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2120452.5%107 W · 97 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Over50c113.64$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.828241.5%34 W · 48 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfdc6…0e75backed Over18c111.11$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.112236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under50c111$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.520945%94 W · 115 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Over51c107.96$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.949447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Over50c101.88$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.9416446.3%76 W · 88 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cae…fdc1backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506731.3%21 W · 46 L-7.5wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3228…b4e3backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.051457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6834…67a5backed Under51c99.71$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.112951.7%15 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2b4…a70dbacked Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.043100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+91.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Over52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.153844.7%17 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over48c89.2$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.3815250%76 W · 76 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under50c78$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3924047.9%115 W · 125 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed Under63c77.61$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.672941.4%12 W · 17 L-5.7wins-0.20per pick61cpaid-34%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over50c72$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3616865.5%110 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Over50c70$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3525551.4%131 W · 124 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11fa…ebf3backed Over53c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.21070%7 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.27per pick43cpaid+68.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdcbd…475fbacked Over51c52.94$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.941136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick58cpaid-33.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0599…3490backed Over39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.281464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2515034.7%52 W · 98 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over33c46.35$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.217573.3%55 W · 20 L+20.9wins+0.28per pick45cpaid+62.3%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Under59c45.21$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.828452.4%44 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Under48c41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.685534.5%19 W · 36 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207749.4%38 W · 39 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.632145.8%147 W · 174 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over64c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.416962.1%105 W · 64 L+0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.222958.6%17 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Over36c38.89$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.795343.4%23 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-3.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x558c…ca77backed Under39c38.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-32.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under50c37.91$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.786962.3%43 W · 26 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb815…342fbacked Under49c35.84$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.472050%10 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x438c…481abacked Under48c31.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ee…6899backed Under48c28.29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.58633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-34.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under48c28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4411336.3%41 W · 72 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f78…bfcabacked Under48c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122931%9 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-45.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under48c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1230749.2%151 W · 156 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6c3…dedebacked Over50c24.83$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.421346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over49c23$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7329946.5%139 W · 160 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Over49c23$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7312744.1%56 W · 71 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1019646.4%91 W · 105 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97b8…0f5dbacked Over53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick60cpaid+49.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x00b2…6cb7backed Over51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Over53c19.94$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.372343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.