La Liga · resolved market
Villarreal CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x931a29a1ba556971adcafee99402bff9db2a3dc8a2ff83d8c02f1483daaaf378
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,772
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,401
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,772 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 33c | 11,579$3,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,822.99 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…aaccbacked Over | 62c | 3,200$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.59 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…171dbacked Over | 75c | 2,420$1,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34ba…d291backed Over | 69c | 1,449$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.12 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 69cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Over | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.05 | 74 | 68.9%51 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 815.1$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.09 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 75c | 800$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 40c | 725.41$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.98 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 64 | 78.1%50 W · 14 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed Under | 59c | 505$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.95 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 37c | 370.41$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.65 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 60c | 324.45$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.45 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…92c8backed Under | 61c | 300$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 68c | 292.65$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.65 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 41c | 253.66$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.66 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over | 79c | 253.15$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 99 | 66.7%66 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…f681backed Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…0e75backed Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c3…dedebacked Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Under | 46c | 208.83$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.19 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6481…b1bfbacked Over | 75c | 206.67$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.67 | 81 | 70.4%57 W · 24 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 21c | 205.06$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.06 | 342 | 52%178 W · 164 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb1…984ebacked Over | 39c | 205$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.05 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7927…34d2backed Under | 57c | 201.84$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…81dabacked Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0082…e801backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 42c | 150.04$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.02 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Under | 21c | 147.31$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 75c | 145.73$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 247 | 57.5%142 W · 105 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed Over | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 26c | 130.65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.73 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 76c | 130$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9b…555cbacked Over | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +57%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7f…9127backed Over | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 36c | 110.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 42c | 100.71$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.71 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 79c | 83.33$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 223 | 66.8%149 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789b…4c08backed Under | 31c | 80.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 77c | 79.04$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 321 | 45.8%147 W · 174 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 43c | 73.51$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.41 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Over | 77c | 65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa0…441abacked Over | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…035dbacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0f…6715backed Over | 50c | 41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 50c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 240 | 47.9%115 W · 125 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24b8…6a66backed Over | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…cd06backed Over | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Under | 37c | 29.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 73c | 27.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25f6…fcd2backed Over | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 42 | 83.3%35 W · 7 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Over | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 139 | 36%50 W · 89 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…d654backed Over | 77c | 25.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc651…98efbacked Over | 74c | 24.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…0b99backed Over | 60c | 23.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 79c | 21.14$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 35 | 77.1%27 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90be…9e9bbacked Over | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00b2…6cb7backed Over | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…efefbacked Over | 71c | 17.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 70cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Over | 74c | 16.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 95 | 70.5%67 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 76cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53e8…c577backed Over | 77c | 15.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 70cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Villarreal CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 1.5this page
- Villarreal CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Villarreal CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 3.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.