La Liga · resolved market
Villarreal CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb461849b5b56591048379f6c521bcd5f37e540dd4d81c5eed04750cc24f6d3b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,598
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,217
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,598 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 1,748$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.24 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed No | 55c | 1,644$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.15 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 36c | 1,535$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.8 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.85 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 24c | 1,043$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.93 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 66c | 741.87$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.73 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked No | 53c | 622.64$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed No | 53c | 396$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.88 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…16c1backed Yes | 29c | 350$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 48c | 296.88$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.38 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 48c | 236$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.72 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed No | 55c | 161.82$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 46c | 145.38$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.72 | 169 | 62.1%105 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed No | 72c | 122.24$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.3 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -5.7wins | -0.20per pick | 61cpaid | -34%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9d49…5ecebacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 38c | 88.17$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.27 | 1,662 | 43.7%727 W · 935 L | -23.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 28c | 47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…d5b0backed Yes | 47c | 42.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 55cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed No | 52c | 41.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 47c | 33.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 147 | 38.8%57 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Yes | 35c | 29.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 75 | 73.3%55 W · 20 L | +20.9wins | +0.28per pick | 45cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Villarreal CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Villarreal CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 1.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 3.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.