Lol · resolved market
LoL: ZennIT vs mCon esports (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9d6998333258a4bc91a91f6a79821f045e7c525185c516f402068260227ee0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ZennITof ZennIT, mCon esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,906
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,177
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,906 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed ZennIT | 42c | 5,274$2,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,037.93 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked mCon esports | 50c | 2,785$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.17 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb9…1f8fbacked mCon esports | 63c | 1,599$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked mCon esports | 58c | 1,300$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749 | 295 | 36.9%109 W · 186 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed mCon esports | 57c | 1,200$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed ZennIT | 38c | 750$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 460 | 33.9%156 W · 304 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed ZennIT | 37c | 733.09$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.8 | 1,157 | 56.1%649 W · 508 L | +27.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked ZennIT | 43c | 580.72$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.01 | 145 | 29.7%43 W · 102 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked mCon esports | 59c | 576.41$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.11 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed mCon esports | 58c | 522.88$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed mCon esports | 59c | 393.77$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.7 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked ZennIT | 42c | 387.75$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.89 | 1,271 | 37.6%478 W · 793 L | +33.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked mCon esports | 56c | 364.45$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.09 | 323 | 45.8%148 W · 175 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed ZennIT | 44c | 364.45$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.09 | 185 | 49.7%92 W · 93 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed mCon esports | 57c | 323$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.51 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked mCon esports | 56c | 301$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.41 | 1,231 | 48.2%593 W · 638 L | +25.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1d…95debacked ZennIT | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed mCon esports | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 419 | 34.1%143 W · 276 L | -29.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked ZennIT | 37c | 215.22$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.59 | 132 | 59.1%78 W · 54 L | +10.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed ZennIT | 41c | 122.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.75 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed mCon esports | 58c | 120.68$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10d8…b398backed ZennIT | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3806…f4c4backed mCon esports | 11c | 108.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 127 | 6.3%8 W · 119 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa614…7d4cbacked ZennIT | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.8 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed mCon esports | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked mCon esports | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 536 | 49.8%267 W · 269 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed ZennIT | 43c | 66.08$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.78 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed ZennIT | 43c | 65$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 540 | 54.3%293 W · 247 L | +26.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed ZennIT | 42c | 65$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.82 | 441 | 28.1%124 W · 317 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc955…56adbacked mCon esports | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed mCon esports | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1428…017cbacked mCon esports | 53c | 46.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…44febacked mCon esports | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked mCon esports | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…f845backed mCon esports | 58c | 36.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed mCon esports | 61c | 35.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe634…9ccfbacked mCon esports | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked mCon esports | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf48c…e4dabacked mCon esports | 57c | 19.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.