NHL · resolved market
SHL: HV 71 vs. Faerjestad
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c0a38c4b28fd9faa6764ebbbe9a7dd7094c491659128487e252df23c26d7e6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HV 71of HV 71, Faerjestad
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,089
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,056
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,089 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56d4…9c57backed HV 71 | 38c | 4,694$1,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900.59 | 231 | 55%127 W · 104 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd098…8c03backed Faerjestad | 61c | 2,090$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.46 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Faerjestad | 62c | 1,558$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.94 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Faerjestad | 61c | 1,202$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.34 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed HV 71 | 39c | 806.95$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.31 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed HV 71 | 41c | 404.39$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.59 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Faerjestad | 58c | 222.16$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.34 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16d8…ba9ebacked HV 71 | 51c | 221.18$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc3…49b2backed Faerjestad | 56c | 209$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26fd…bd8bbacked Faerjestad | 57c | 208$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9da9…ea01backed HV 71 | 44c | 208$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb08a…77ddbacked HV 71 | 43c | 206$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Faerjestad | 61c | 204.92$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…0898backed HV 71 | 43c | 201$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Faerjestad | 56c | 200$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 224 | 43.3%97 W · 127 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1428…017cbacked Faerjestad | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e61…608bbacked Faerjestad | 57c | 199$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b64…76aebacked HV 71 | 44c | 198$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17da…d82abacked Faerjestad | 56c | 197$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38d0…899bbacked Faerjestad | 62c | 193.55$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33fd…a585backed Faerjestad | 62c | 180$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Faerjestad | 58c | 179$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.42 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Faerjestad | 56c | 115$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Faerjestad | 57c | 104$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.28 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Faerjestad | 57c | 89$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.73 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Faerjestad | 57c | 88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Faerjestad | 52c | 80.61$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.11 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked HV 71 | 39c | 80$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.7 | 349 | 49.9%174 W · 175 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed HV 71 | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f41…5cb3backed Faerjestad | 56c | 71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Faerjestad | 60c | 67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Faerjestad | 58c | 58$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Faerjestad | 57c | 57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.49 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c34…2055backed HV 71 | 41c | 48.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Faerjestad | 61c | 45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…9bcbbacked Faerjestad | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3e…390fbacked HV 71 | 43c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Faerjestad | 61c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60c…b395backed HV 71 | 43c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Faerjestad | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c23…dfb8backed Faerjestad | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x878d…be16backed HV 71 | 43c | 32.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Faerjestad | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed HV 71 | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked HV 71 | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.7wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…7ca5backed HV 71 | 44c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…2cb0backed HV 71 | 41c | 28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e48…c958backed HV 71 | 43c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…1559backed HV 71 | 44c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…e417backed HV 71 | 44c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc17…53b6backed HV 71 | 43c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…a93bbacked HV 71 | 43c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…3907backed HV 71 | 40c | 27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xddf6…9bd5backed HV 71 | 43c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc25a…f243backed Faerjestad | 62c | 20.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed Faerjestad | 60c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.