NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Bulls: O/U 233.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ba56cb3ef499e48b9cf923b03de6b2a545c2e22b59c407755aff5c9ab84fcfb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,021
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,615
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,021 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 50c | 6,379$3,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,219.65 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Under | 50c | 5,946$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,945.84 | 220 | 35.5%78 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 5,282$2,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700.15 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74c2…5260backed Under | 50c | 4,910$2,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,455 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 51c | 4,493$2,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,291.43 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 52c | 3,426$1,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,764.85 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 2,313$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.66 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…b458backed Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.97 | 119 | 26.1%31 W · 88 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Over | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 50c | 1,433$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.73 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 48c | 820.16$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.68 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 51c | 779.53$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.72 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked Over | 52c | 660.98$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.71 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +8.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 52c | 635$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.8 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 51c | 588$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Over | 51c | 583.42$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.54 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Under | 53c | 402$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.94 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Under | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7289…8d16backed Under | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 133 | 54.1%72 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 49c | 366.33$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.5 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Under | 50c | 341$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.5 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x236d…5e45backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 51c | 188$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.88 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x260a…4282backed Under | 51c | 181.33$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.85 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 48c | 175.38$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.18 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 52c | 150.31$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.15 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Over | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ed…2b21backed Over | 50c | 102.48$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.24 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8985…2e25backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ae…811bbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Under | 50c | 96$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Under | 52c | 80.77$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.77 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Under | 25c | 70$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | +19.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 50c | 66.4$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Under | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf232…4fc6backed Under | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 127 | 66.9%85 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 52c | 40.77$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 52c | 40.77$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Over | 48c | 39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 48c | 30.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed7…eb18backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 51c | 29.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Over | 52c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 421 | 43.7%184 W · 237 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1428…017cbacked Under | 51c | 23.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 51c | 19.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mavericks vs. Bulls: O/U 233.5this page
- Mavericks vs. BullsBulls won
- Mavericks vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylineBulls won
- Mavericks vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Bulls: O/U 230.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Bulls: O/U 231.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Bulls: O/U 232.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Bulls: O/U 234.5Under won
- Spread: Bulls (-2.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Bulls (-3.5)Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.