NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Bulls: O/U 231.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6837e4057ef39ed01da2b0b50abd6a8edf26acd55f4cdae3a935dca7e87a269
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,517
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,517
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,517 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 51c | 10,323$5,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,096.02 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 50c | 3,420$1,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,696.11 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 49c | 1,689$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.29 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 52c | 1,563$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.5 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 1,168$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.74 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Under | 16c | 1,048$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.71 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 1,040$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.45 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 2c | 1,002$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Under | 2c | 800$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 158 | 7%11 W · 147 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 27c | 537.79$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.79 | 205 | 36.6%75 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 76c | 455$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.56 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 52c | 440.49$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.15 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 35c | 400.47$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.06 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 48c | 383$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.84 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 55c | 299$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.64 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 262$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.21 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 56c | 250$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 47c | 249.49$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.26 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 24c | 212.27$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.18 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 46c | 180$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Over | 54c | 180$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 220 | 55%121 W · 99 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Over | 53c | 150.63$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x884c…851fbacked Under | 16c | 144.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -10.7wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Under | 47c | 135.5$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.35 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf400…1620backed Over | 73c | 117.03$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.23 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec3…9aa3backed Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Over | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 95 | 15.8%15 W · 80 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Over | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 85 | 11.8%10 W · 75 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 46c | 97.93$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.03 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 51c | 93.01$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.58 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 50c | 88.15$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.17 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f02…c594backed Under | 47c | 63.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85f1…2388backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 36c | 59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9050…0a7abacked Under | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 53c | 50.34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…fb77backed Over | 56c | 48.75$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 47 | 74.5%35 W · 12 L | +8.2wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff2…d10fbacked Over | 54c | 42.63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5f…4884backed Under | 49c | 37.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf9…ca87backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…91a0backed Over | 73c | 32.39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97b8…0f5dbacked Under | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Under | 39c | 28.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Under | 50c | 22.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 222 | 47.3%105 W · 117 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…314abacked Under | 47c | 22.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 77c | 20.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0119…fa8abacked Under | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mavericks vs. Bulls: O/U 231.5this page
- Mavericks vs. BullsBulls won
- Mavericks vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylineBulls won
- Mavericks vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Bulls: O/U 230.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Bulls: O/U 232.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Bulls: O/U 233.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Bulls: O/U 234.5Under won
- Spread: Bulls (-2.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Bulls (-3.5)Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.