Lol · resolved market
LoL: ZennIT vs Once Upon A Team (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a148f3a918b3f411038cfe44836e09360ab3389fa23de83d20e0c385451d97b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ZennITof ZennIT, Once Upon A Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,307
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,993
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,307 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac75…1319backed ZennIT | 52c | 7,480$3,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,593.87 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92d6…0550backed Once Upon A Team | 48c | 2,103$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.33 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Once Upon A Team | 50c | 1,131$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.33 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ff…b00abacked Once Upon A Team | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.92 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Once Upon A Team | 48c | 450$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Once Upon A Team | 48c | 410.42$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Once Upon A Team | 48c | 384.22$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.43 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Once Upon A Team | 48c | 383.44$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.01 | 390 | 44.9%175 W · 215 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed ZennIT | 44c | 333.02$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.49 | 185 | 49.7%92 W · 93 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked Once Upon A Team | 48c | 310.42$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8289…c482backed Once Upon A Team | 48c | 292$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Once Upon A Team | 48c | 286$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.28 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Once Upon A Team | 48c | 284.33$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.48 | 427 | 35.4%151 W · 276 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbc…3b01backed ZennIT | 53c | 251.46$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.19 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Once Upon A Team | 34c | 249.6$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.86 | 486 | 52.1%253 W · 233 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Once Upon A Team | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1428…017cbacked Once Upon A Team | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…00bcbacked Once Upon A Team | 48c | 190$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Once Upon A Team | 47c | 183.53$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.45 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Once Upon A Team | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79d1…68b3backed Once Upon A Team | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 13cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…89b4backed Once Upon A Team | 7c | 150$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked ZennIT | 55c | 138.21$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.91 | 611 | 43.5%266 W · 345 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b7…52bebacked ZennIT | 43c | 116.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.94 | 181 | 48.1%87 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Once Upon A Team | 49c | 114$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.52 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Once Upon A Team | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.52 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Once Upon A Team | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 668 | 43%287 W · 381 L | -29.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Once Upon A Team | 45c | 84$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 460 | 33.9%156 W · 304 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Once Upon A Team | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.97 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Once Upon A Team | 15c | 79.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 95 | 9.5%9 W · 86 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c23…dfb8backed Once Upon A Team | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35c6…a5dcbacked Once Upon A Team | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -78%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked ZennIT | 53c | 44.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Once Upon A Team | 46c | 42.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 441 | 28.1%124 W · 317 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Once Upon A Team | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Once Upon A Team | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed ZennIT | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc21e…0215backed ZennIT | 53c | 34.59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed Once Upon A Team | 47c | 32.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Once Upon A Team | 47c | 32.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 219 | 43.8%96 W · 123 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Once Upon A Team | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 184 | 40.8%75 W · 109 L | -14.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8f…8facbacked Once Upon A Team | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.