Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Men's: Vitaliy Sachko vs Liam Draxl
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x469d538588bcfdd2e8460ae108f4817761c85057b9ef5bd0793ab3657f7016da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Draxlof Sachko, Draxl
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,885
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,322
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,885 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Draxl | 53c | 2,904$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.14 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…082dbacked Draxl | 45c | 2,655$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.88 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked Sachko | 47c | 2,000$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.09 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sachko | 58c | 1,477$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.54 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Sachko | 38c | 1,267$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.48 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Draxl | 65c | 734.06$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.06 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sachko | 53c | 699.95$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.34 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Sachko | 31c | 651.49$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.6 | 288 | 33.3%96 W · 192 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Sachko | 41c | 600$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 586 | 39.6%232 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Draxl | 63c | 595.74$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.79 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Draxl | 24c | 567.85$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.24 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Draxl | 65c | 535.92$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.61 | 656 | 51.8%340 W · 316 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Sachko | 53c | 532$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.96 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Sachko | 35c | 483.92$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.37 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Draxl | 59c | 476$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.16 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Draxl | 40c | 472$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.82 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Draxl | 57c | 451.9$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.98 | 375 | 44.3%166 W · 209 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Sachko | 6c | 445.39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 160 | 29.4%47 W · 113 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Draxl | 40c | 427.77$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.48 | 161 | 50.3%81 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Sachko | 54c | 408.94$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.89 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6a…86bbbacked Draxl | 21c | 403.69$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.56 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Draxl | 54c | 349.88$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.73 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Draxl | 49c | 303.25$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.25 | 991 | 39.9%395 W · 596 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Draxl | 41c | 289.74$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.74 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Draxl | 63c | 220.05$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.37 | 142 | 59.2%84 W · 58 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Draxl | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.8 | 138 | 16.7%23 W · 115 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +46%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Sachko | 5c | 199.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 78 | 3.8%3 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Draxl | 20c | 178.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.01 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Draxl | 40c | 168.55$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.74 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -8.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Draxl | 58c | 129.01$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.79 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Draxl | 36c | 127.91$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.51 | 204 | 31.9%65 W · 139 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Sachko | 39c | 110.25$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.11 | 108 | 15.7%17 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +248.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Sachko | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1428…017cbacked Draxl | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Draxl | 38c | 98.03$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.15 | 930 | 48.8%454 W · 476 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc3…675bbacked Draxl | 75c | 92.12$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 137 | 63.5%87 W · 50 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7b…20bbbacked Sachko | 44c | 90$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Sachko | 15c | 90$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 161 | 44.7%72 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Sachko | 13c | 82.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Sachko | 61c | 79.28$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Sachko | 27c | 78.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Draxl | 64c | 78.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…aca7backed Draxl | 73c | 65.15$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Sachko | 32c | 62.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…90d4backed Sachko | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Draxl | 48c | 52.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.17 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Draxl | 58c | 43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1c…dc02backed Draxl | 25c | 42.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Draxl | 59c | 42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Draxl | 27c | 41.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.28 | 252 | 37.3%94 W · 158 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc829…cad3backed Sachko | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd8…8593backed Draxl | 73c | 33.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…2163backed Sachko | 54c | 31.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8747…8b5dbacked Sachko | 79c | 31.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Draxl | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 836 | 61%510 W · 326 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Sachko | 41c | 28.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e21…4dccbacked Sachko | 54c | 24.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Draxl | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x711f…f51bbacked Sachko | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Draxl | 77c | 13.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.