Lol · resolved market
LoL: ZennIT vs The Bandits (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6933fcc33f779abf492b832b0786d595b17db826ea87458a2953053d13a1b9bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- The Banditsof ZennIT, The Bandits
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,733
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,007
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,733 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed ZennIT | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 397 | 70.3%279 W · 118 L | +30.9wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked The Bandits | 37c | 1,953$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.6 | 132 | 59.1%78 W · 54 L | +10.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e4…3050backed The Bandits | 41c | 1,510$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae03…d335backed ZennIT | 59c | 1,050$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b76…3802backed The Bandits | 41c | 1,050$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…0ac1backed ZennIT | 46c | 985.2$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.12 | 505 | 47.7%241 W · 264 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked ZennIT | 61c | 919.15$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5160…c70abacked ZennIT | 59c | 760$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…01bcbacked ZennIT | 59c | 750$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…9c9abacked The Bandits | 52c | 629.74$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.24 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.47per pick | 37cpaid | +141.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed ZennIT | 66c | 536$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked The Bandits | 40c | 486.07$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.64 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabe3…b4f3backed ZennIT | 9c | 431.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed ZennIT | 79c | 379.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 185 | 49.7%92 W · 93 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed ZennIT | 60c | 300$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.6 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked The Bandits | 39c | 288.2$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.8 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked ZennIT | 62c | 191.94$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed ZennIT | 60c | 176$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed ZennIT | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed ZennIT | 57c | 138.31$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.84 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f6…f506backed The Bandits | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed The Bandits | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 290 | 43.4%126 W · 164 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1428…017cbacked ZennIT | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked ZennIT | 60c | 80$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed ZennIT | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 923 | 42.7%394 W · 529 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked ZennIT | 58c | 57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa27…dbdcbacked The Bandits | 40c | 43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed ZennIT | 58c | 41.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf06a…cfdabacked The Bandits | 43c | 41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked The Bandits | 40c | 37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked The Bandits | 38c | 32.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked ZennIT | 60c | 32.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3e…390fbacked The Bandits | 43c | 31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d10…e17cbacked The Bandits | 43c | 29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed The Bandits | 40c | 28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480a…e3c9backed The Bandits | 43c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e44…3cefbacked The Bandits | 40c | 26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed The Bandits | 40c | 26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.