La Liga · resolved market
RCD Mallorca vs. Girona FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad61b8db8ed9fdb75aef681476fe072f203ebead3c8b9d88a636928f44c084dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,729
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,267
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,729 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 28c | 3,145$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.33 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb737…98b9backed Over | 75c | 2,538$1,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.41 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34ba…d291backed Over | 69c | 1,450$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 69cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…d438backed Over | 67c | 296.31$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.31 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…d643backed Over | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 28c | 197.01$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.63 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 69c | 175.36$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.36 | 128 | 75%96 W · 32 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Under | 31c | 143$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.33 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 63c | 142$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.54 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Under | 30c | 113$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Under | 30c | 112$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Under | 30c | 102$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…8248backed Under | 31c | 92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Under | 31c | 92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Under | 31c | 85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Under | 31c | 73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…bc6fbacked Over | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Under | 31c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Under | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 69c | 59.4$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 23c | 54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 37c | 52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Under | 30c | 49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Under | 31c | 49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Under | 31c | 47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5956…e127backed Over | 70c | 42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 58c | 41.21$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.31 | 421 | 58%244 W · 177 L | +29.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc94d…2b20backed Over | 69c | 38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…d6a2backed Over | 70c | 38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…2f86backed Over | 69c | 36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +4.2wins | +0.30per pick | 55cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…65babacked Over | 69c | 35.63$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2949…76bcbacked Over | 69c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…1866backed Over | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 65cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf340…6224backed Over | 70c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450f…9479backed Over | 73c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf5…840ebacked Over | 70c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…6070backed Over | 70c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…9cdabacked Over | 69c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +31%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…bb17backed Over | 69c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce01…5c2abacked Over | 69c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b3…0d89backed Over | 70c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…9b17backed Over | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2d…ffcebacked Over | 69c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4182…ae54backed Over | 70c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 69cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…d6cbbacked Over | 69c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 70cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9430…97cebacked Over | 69c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…1045backed Over | 70c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…1559backed Over | 69c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cce…ebfebacked Over | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3e…390fbacked Over | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60c…b395backed Over | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…67b1backed Over | 70c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62f0…afe6backed Over | 70c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3c…e863backed Over | 70c | 17.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe13a…6bb5backed Over | 70c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.28per pick | 64cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7773…f936backed Over | 69c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…0853backed Over | 69c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x315a…b24cbacked Over | 69c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a6…7ed2backed Over | 69c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…8137backed Over | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5d…e5bfbacked Over | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RCD Mallorca vs. Girona FC: O/U 1.5this page
- RCD Mallorca vs. Girona FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RCD Mallorca vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- RCD Mallorca vs. Girona FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- RCD Mallorca vs. Girona FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: RCD Mallorca (-1.5)Girona FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.