La Liga · resolved market
RCD Mallorca vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9d7b6e237aad3fc6b1febb462e284cf47951682ec401d144b95f28461556bd4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,835
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,895
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,835 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 58c | 10,329$5,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,985.51 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 43c | 6,371$2,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,647.48 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 43c | 6,360$2,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,641.69 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 953.84$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.93 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 56c | 893.51$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.37 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9b…f4edbacked Over | 43c | 465.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.11 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Over | 55c | 461$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.36 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +6.5wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked Under | 44c | 450$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 57c | 399.99$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff8…aa3abacked Over | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 51c | 280.39$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.39 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 57c | 240$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.8 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | -12.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Under | 59c | 233.9$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Over | 59c | 179.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c22…70a0backed Under | 56c | 143.76$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.87 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 57c | 130$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.1 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Under | 57c | 120$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 210 | 51.9%109 W · 101 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 57c | 120$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 57c | 120$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 290 | 53.4%155 W · 135 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ae…811bbacked Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8496…27b6backed Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +5.3wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 44c | 107.32$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.1 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Under | 56c | 92.04$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.54 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 57c | 92$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.1 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Over | 44c | 89$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.84 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 62c | 87.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.63 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Over | 43c | 83$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.31 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Under | 64c | 80$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 57c | 71.63$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.83 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 50c | 68.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.61 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 37c | 67.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.58 | 147 | 38.8%57 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 65c | 61.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 240 | 47.9%115 W · 125 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Under | 57c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 193 | 52.3%101 W · 92 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Under | 57c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Under | 57c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…65babacked Over | 30c | 59.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 52c | 51.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 29c | 41.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc840…0650backed Over | 44c | 40.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 421 | 58%244 W · 177 L | +29.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe798…b668backed Over | 58c | 38.47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 191 | 30.4%58 W · 133 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8d…4dc6backed Over | 44c | 29.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9430…97cebacked Under | 56c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 55c | 25.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x279b…7d84backed Under | 57c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -4.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4e48…c958backed Under | 56c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…0853backed Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RCD Mallorca vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5this page
- RCD Mallorca vs. Girona FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RCD Mallorca vs. Girona FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- RCD Mallorca vs. Girona FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- RCD Mallorca vs. Girona FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: RCD Mallorca (-1.5)Girona FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.