La Liga · resolved market
RCD Mallorca vs. Girona FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2df21f9907e1fb9246bfda458ad74b7812813e045ae0cb3dfbd84740da0ba2b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,990
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,103
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,990 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 22c | 797.55$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.46 | 193 | 44.6%86 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Over | 22c | 228$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.06 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 22c | 129.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Over | 22c | 102$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…8248backed Over | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed Over | 23c | 99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Over | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 170 | 36.5%62 W · 108 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Over | 21c | 61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked Over | 23c | 53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf2…6640backed Under | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6014…5a58backed Under | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…bbe8backed Under | 77c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…ae85backed Under | 77c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…d7cebacked Under | 77c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +83%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…218cbacked Under | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe9…a400backed Under | 77c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 78c | 22.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 1,651 | 43.9%724 W · 927 L | -21.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd512…91eebacked Under | 79c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf26c…3443backed Under | 77c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bd…d82dbacked Under | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef9…b5bfbacked Under | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RCD Mallorca vs. Girona FC: O/U 3.5this page
- RCD Mallorca vs. Girona FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RCD Mallorca vs. Girona FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- RCD Mallorca vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- RCD Mallorca vs. Girona FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: RCD Mallorca (-1.5)Girona FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.