TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Athletic Club vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,153
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,376

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,153 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed Under45c3,732$1,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,687.9990843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Under59c3,500$2,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,064.7824147.7%115 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over42c3,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7409052.2%47 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8efe…7b44backed Over43c2,342$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,341.213345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ed3…fc81backed Over72c2,168$1,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked Under60c2,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2003860.5%23 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2da2…8c2bbacked Over71c1,776$1,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.041580%12 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+22.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Under31c1,613$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002814.3%4 W · 24 L-6.9wins-0.25per pick39cpaid-62.9%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Over40c899.97$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.982560%15 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+19%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over30c770$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53913824.6%34 W · 104 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb737…98b9backed Over72c763.89$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.891181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick66cpaid+33.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over74c679.2$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.5912875%96 W · 32 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under58c600$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34822859.6%136 W · 92 L+18.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+55.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under58c599.99$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3464757.4%27 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over45c489.83$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.244,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf16…0601backed Under29c418$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.2230%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under57c400$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22829053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0a0…7848backed Under60c333.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Under60c300$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1808254.9%45 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Over41c300$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1772157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b77…11d2backed Over23c260.87$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.87633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10a1…97e6backed Under60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over34c241.1$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.163,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8208…1742backed Over42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.11838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x042a…7f4cbacked Over43c232.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.67771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+63.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Over43c229.44$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.4411049.1%54 W · 56 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2460…2dccbacked Under69c203.46$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5851…07f4backed Over73c200.33$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.09250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc994…f4ebbacked Over70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0157…d8dcbacked Over43c186.05$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.0514233.8%48 W · 94 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe1d9…a94bbacked Under59c176$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.841855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+32.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c21…6ce6backed Under60c170$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4dc…d394backed Under59c170$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.32748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4e0…22d2backed Under60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.28per pick61cpaid+47.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Under60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005453.7%29 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8594…7eedbacked Under60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006950.7%35 W · 34 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-16.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xab90…5793backed Over67c164$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.363868.4%26 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e1…682abacked Over72c145.39$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68e0…a3a6backed Under59c138$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.421450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e4f…243cbacked Under59c138$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.422744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d30…2645backed Under59c132$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.882065%13 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+36.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4aff…c91bbacked Under59c129$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.114334.9%15 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-4.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under59c125$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7424052.9%127 W · 113 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed Under60c125$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755651.8%29 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Under59c115$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.853336.4%12 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa65b…b0c0backed Under59c108$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.723946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd25…01aebacked Over33c106.06$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.06633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-21.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over72c105.56$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5616865.5%110 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Over41c101.09$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.7255941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10f7…26f0backed Under59c101$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.593240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6664046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8a0…f967backed Over34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Under59c99.99$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.9911559.1%68 W · 47 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ff…121cbacked Under59c96.67$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.21145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1170…8398backed Over41c96.4$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.47843.6%34 W · 44 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x924f…d049backed Over42c95.24$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.242356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+36.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over24c83.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.3319544.1%86 W · 109 L+13.7wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+11.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb375…59d6backed Over42c82.6$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.963655.6%20 W · 16 L+4.2wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+36.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb87…88d1backed Under59c81$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.793043.3%13 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0a6…2a95backed Under60c78.8$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.281250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under50c75.82$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1129946.5%139 W · 160 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d14…261dbacked Under60c75$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6132…7665backed Under59c75$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.25862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+81.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Over42c73.81$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8119345.1%87 W · 106 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f91…20ccbacked Under59c71$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.892740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0e6…71e4backed Under59c71$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.892729.6%8 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1488…0672backed Under59c69$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.712536%9 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1436…e23dbacked Under59c66$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.944254.8%23 W · 19 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x79cc…8026backed Under76c59.21$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456246.8%29 W · 33 L-7.3wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xea68…ff92backed Under58c58$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.64955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Under59c58$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.222638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4970…21f6backed Under59c57$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.631650%8 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9773…67e8backed Under59c56$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.042334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02d…16cabacked Under60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020047.5%95 W · 105 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Under60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3017643.8%77 W · 99 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5a1…e6f5backed Under59c48$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.321643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+24.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Over42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6217036.5%62 W · 108 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6215034.7%52 W · 98 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa032…9b15backed Over41c46$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.141872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+42.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x063c…d642backed Over41c45$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.55616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.36per pick53cpaid-59.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under61c45$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.312744.1%56 W · 71 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8380…1866backed Over41c44$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.96988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick65cpaid+43.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x15b7…7fd0backed Over41c42$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.781060%6 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x079f…db87backed Under60c41.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Under60c40$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247749.4%38 W · 39 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Under60c40$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ab0…8383backed Over41c39$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.01825%2 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-48.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6c67…21eebacked Under60c38.03$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.823638.9%14 W · 22 L-6.1wins-0.17per pick56cpaid-29.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8f6c…ac71backed Over41c38$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.42771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+26%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb385…c1a4backed Over41c38$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.42742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x143d…5bc4backed Over41c38$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.421145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick65cpaid-29.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x37bb…c71fbacked Under59c37$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.83977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick62cpaid+33.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7563…1fb3backed Under59c35$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.651154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f7d…c4adbacked Under60c35$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over72c34.72$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7224757.5%142 W · 105 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72df…42f6backed Over41c34$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.061376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+36.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f63…55b0backed Under60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x30ee…5d12backed Over41c33$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.471283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.3wins+0.27per pick56cpaid+71.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc856…0aa5backed Over41c32$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.881758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick63cpaid+5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacac…bd06backed Over41c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick62cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.