La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0108662f6b7b21e34aab1e27f46978202a2e361628dfd562d621c0a6f5d2ddd2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelonaof Athletic Club, RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,390
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,661
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,390 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 79c | 5,229$4,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.54 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Athletic Club | 21c | 3,185$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.84 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Athletic Club | 19c | 1,579$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 223 | 35%78 W · 145 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x159b…cbcabacked Athletic Club | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Athletic Club | 29c | 687$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.23 | 240 | 47.9%115 W · 125 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc90…97a9backed RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 73c | 370$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21a0…7720backed RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 73c | 330$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe69a…be92backed RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…449cbacked RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 75c | 267.81$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 74c | 230$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Athletic Club | 28c | 199.96$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 74c | 185$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.1 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x385e…3896backed Athletic Club | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 74c | 157$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.82 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 73c | 136.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 72c | 125.4$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.02 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 19c | 122.73$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.71 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | +14.3wins | +0.15per pick | 21cpaid | +150%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbe98…ce33backed RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 74c | 120.72$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.39 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 74c | 111.58$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.01 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -6.1wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Athletic Club | 22c | 103.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 74c | 101.35$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 74c | 84$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Athletic Club | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…0853backed Athletic Club | 26c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Athletic Club | 27c | 66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 73c | 61.58$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.63 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 74c | 61$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 74c | 56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c9…d994backed RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 75c | 53.51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Athletic Club | 26c | 47.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…e97abacked Athletic Club | 26c | 47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…2f86backed Athletic Club | 26c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +4.2wins | +0.30per pick | 55cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…0bc0backed Athletic Club | 26c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…bdecbacked Athletic Club | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…9f5abacked Athletic Club | 26c | 39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…0f1cbacked RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 75c | 34.97$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…b32cbacked RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 74c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…8248backed RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 74c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)this page
- Athletic Club vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Athletic Club vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 1.5Over won
- Athletic Club vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5Over won
- Athletic Club vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.