La Liga · resolved market
Athletic Club vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84f2031b9e6388bb6f5b89f36cd73d10c41ad7e26a11837c8e2cb6560f465f80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,652
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,426
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,652 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x76a2…1f3cbacked Over | 66c | 2,480$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624.92 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 1,001$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.88 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 22c | 1,000$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.98 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 49c | 745$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.05 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb737…98b9backed Over | 70c | 571.43$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Under | 80c | 558.34$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.67 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 71c | 523.94$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 128 | 75%96 W · 32 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 24c | 460.83$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.66 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 41c | 450.07$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.2 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…85f3backed Over | 45c | 424.44$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b68…795bbacked Over | 67c | 291.93$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.59 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 35c | 235.71$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.26 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b77…11d2backed Over | 29c | 206.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 36c | 203.85$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.7 | 1,662 | 43.7%727 W · 935 L | -23.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 425 | 57.9%246 W · 179 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 21c | 162.38$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…9194backed Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Under | 80c | 158$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Under | 80c | 155$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…f967backed Over | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 59c | 145$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.85 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Under | 80c | 144$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 44c | 123.2$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.98 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd25…01aebacked Over | 15c | 106.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Under | 80c | 102$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Under | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 238 | 55.9%133 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 195 | 44.1%86 W · 109 L | +13.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 70c | 99.03$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.27 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe98…ce33backed Over | 51c | 96.08$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b7…37d5backed Over | 23c | 91.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Over | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc994…f4ebbacked Over | 49c | 61.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…9c83backed Under | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Under | 80c | 57$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 21c | 54.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 37c | 54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.02 | 849 | 39.7%337 W · 512 L | -21.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Under | 80c | 51$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Under | 80c | 51$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0da9…9d56backed Over | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x423d…c621backed Over | 49c | 50.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 63c | 48.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 247 | 57.5%142 W · 105 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24b8…6a66backed Under | 80c | 43.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb985…cf92backed Over | 60c | 36.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 59cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…5dc5backed Under | 66c | 24.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletic Club vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 3.5this page
- Athletic Club vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Athletic Club vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 1.5Over won
- Athletic Club vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)RCD Espanyol de Barcelona won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.