CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 33 vs SPARTA (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x942eaf10c976ffe09ad9eb52582b7654e87983bc48d5d758fc728206ce117c3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 33of 33, SPARTA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,007
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,378
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,007 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked SPARTA | 26c | 3,683$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.73 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…f087backed 33 | 74c | 3,062$2,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.71 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed SPARTA | 31c | 1,200$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.67 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…fdd3backed 33 | 58c | 1,000$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb737…98b9backed 33 | 67c | 535.27$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.27 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…0acbbacked 33 | 71c | 447.91$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.26 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed SPARTA | 30c | 382.4$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.32 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed SPARTA | 49c | 305$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.35 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed 33 | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked SPARTA | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked 33 | 79c | 300$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 449 | 57.5%258 W · 191 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed 33 | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed SPARTA | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed SPARTA | 36c | 280.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed SPARTA | 22c | 251$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.87 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cea…2d58backed 33 | 65c | 190$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae7…6937backed 33 | 68c | 186.24$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked SPARTA | 26c | 182$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.72 | 482 | 42.1%203 W · 279 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0c…1eb8backed 33 | 57c | 176.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33f1…7a59backed SPARTA | 36c | 165.44$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6579…b0a5backed SPARTA | 33c | 154.47$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.91 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x745d…845fbacked SPARTA | 33c | 150$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked 33 | 75c | 140.17$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce0a…2d88backed SPARTA | 59c | 125.3$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.66 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed SPARTA | 25c | 123$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa6…f3b0backed 33 | 71c | 108.13$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.16 | 136 | 75%102 W · 34 L | +22.9wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked 33 | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.05 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked 33 | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked SPARTA | 49c | 98.93$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.46 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed SPARTA | 20c | 90$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked SPARTA | 22c | 85.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…2fc7backed SPARTA | 33c | 60.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 434 | 42.2%183 W · 251 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed SPARTA | 19c | 56.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 215 | 28.8%62 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72a3…0918backed SPARTA | 45c | 56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9f…c934backed SPARTA | 29c | 54.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…a38dbacked 33 | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18d…9c5bbacked 33 | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4b…c2bcbacked SPARTA | 38c | 42.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3971…dc73backed SPARTA | 46c | 41.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed SPARTA | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x63e1…802abacked SPARTA | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d75…8b3abacked SPARTA | 45c | 37.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…597ebacked SPARTA | 58c | 35.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked SPARTA | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…1550backed SPARTA | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…9efebacked SPARTA | 56c | 29.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24b1…8aabbacked 33 | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3def…b78dbacked SPARTA | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x192c…a151backed 33 | 75c | 19.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1452…896ebacked 33 | 75c | 17.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa54e…4775backed 33 | 78c | 14.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 33 vs SPARTA (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: 33 vs SPARTA - Map 1 Winner33 won
- Counter-Strike: 33 vs SPARTA - Map 2 WinnerSPARTA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.